It’s time for our third main of the PGA Tour season, the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. This would be the 121st U.S. Open and the second time that it has been performed at Torrey Pines. The final time was in 2008 in what can be Tiger Woods’ final main championship victory earlier than his superb run on the 2019 Masters. While Tiger will not be within the subject this 12 months, that is nonetheless a fully stacked group of golfers, which makes it more difficult to fill out a PGA DFS lineup.
The 7,652-yard, par-71 course has modified barely over time however nonetheless options slim fairways and thick tough along with poa annua greens. The second gap is the one par 4 beneath 400 yards on the course. The signature par-3 third gap is measured at 195 yards, however with a number of tee bins and wind instructions, gamers may very well be utilizing any variety of golf equipment to assault this gap all through the week. The best gap ought to as soon as once more be the 568-yard par-5 finisher, which can make for excessive ranges of drama down the stretch.
U.S. OPEN BETTING: Best bets, sleepers
The greatest change over the 13 years would be the subject. These gamers are extra analytical, stronger, leaner and total higher. The South course at Torrey usually ranks contained in the top-15 hardest in Fairways Hit, Greens in Regulation, Proximity, and Scrambling. Driving, strategy and scrambling will probably be keys to success.
We ought to see excellent circumstances this weekend. The climate appears to be like to be typical of San Diego in the summertime, with temperatures within the mid-to-high 70s. As of proper now, the forecast has the winds being comparatively calm sitting between eight-to-12 MPH all through the weekend.
PGA DFS technique for U.S. Open 2021
The U.S. Open has all the time been identified for attempting to problem all elements of the participant’s sport, from the psychological to the bodily. You’ll have all the same old traits of the U.S. Open with slim fairways, thick tough, and greens like hardwood flooring. A participant like Bryson DeChambeau received’t be capable to overpower this course the best way he did at Winged Foot in 2020. The tough will take its toll of those gamers if they’ll’t maintain it within the brief grass. I’m going to be focusing on gamers who’ve expertise taking part in in U.S. Open and know what it takes to win. I’m not taking away something from what DeChambeau did in 2020 — it was phenomenal — however I’m simply saying this week will probably be a unique story.
When Tiger Woods received the U.S. Open on Torrey in 2008, he completed with a rating of one-under par. When you take a look at the common successful rating of the Farmers Insurance Open over the previous 5 years, it’s practically 15-under par. That’s why I’ll take a look at the latest outcomes on the Farmers, but it surely received’t be closely weighted, this week will play tougher than it did again in January. I count on the winner to return in round four- to six-under par.
U.S. Open DFS picks
Brooks Koepka: Koepka freely admits that he doesn’t rise up mentally for an everyday tour occasion like he does for a serious championship. He is aware of that his profession will probably be outlined by what number of main titles he wins. He missed the lower on the Masters, however I’m writing that off due to the knee surgical procedure. If you are taking that out, he completed runner-up ultimately month’s PGA Championship, seventh on the 2020 Masters, received the ’19 PGA Championship, runner-up on the ’19 Masters, received the PGA & U.S. Open in ’18, and received the ’17 U.S. Open. I belief Koepka’s psychological sport being stronger than most anybody else within the subject this weekend.
Jon Rahm: If you don’t suppose Rahm doesn’t have an enormous chip on his shoulder heading into this weekend, I’ve some ocean entrance property to promote you in Omaha. A six-stroke lead heading into Sunday on the Memorial simply received wiped away, and you do not suppose he is going to return out weapons blazing on the U.S. Open? He additionally has an incredible observe report at Torrey Pines with a win and runner-up end on the Farmers Insurance. He is second on tour in “Strokes Gained: Tee to Green,” third in “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee,” fifth in “Greens in Regulation,” and twelfth in “Strokes Gained: Approach.” The solely purpose to not like him is his worth, however I’m going to pay up.
Will Zalatoris: What extra can I say about this child that hasn’t been stated 100 instances over? The solely factor he hasn’t executed but in his younger profession is win, however he got here darn shut with a runner-up end on the Masters. He additionally completed eighth on the PGA Championship. That is only one of his seven top-10 finishes in 2021. This child can crush the ball off the tee (twenty fifth in “Driving Distance”), ball strike with the most effective of them on tour (third in “Strokes Gained: Approach” and seventh in “Strokes Gained: Tee to Green”) and put himself into place to make birdies usually (14th in “Greens in Regulation”). While his final outing on the Charles Schwab was his worst end in his younger profession (59th place), I’m truly hoping that can kill a few of his possession this weekend.
Gary Woodland: Woodland has been an afterthought on the PGA Tour since his U.S. Open victory at Pebble Beach in 2019. He struggled after the massive win after which handled a hip damage on the finish of ’20. We’ve seen indicators of life in his sport over the previous two months beginning with a top-10 end on the Valero and adopted that up with a top-five end just a few weeks later on the Wells Fargo. He nonetheless ranks tenth in “Driving Distance” and high 50 in “Strokes Gained: Approach” regardless of his struggles within the early a part of the season. I believe he’ll be decrease owned than gamers like Jason Kokrak, Joaquin Niemann, Sungjae Im and Shane Lowry in the same worth vary.
Shane Lowry: The reigning Open Champion is rounding into high type as we get nearer to his title protection. I really feel Shane Lowry is flying beneath the radar regardless of three top-10 finishes in his previous 4 begins; ninth on the RBC Heritage, fourth on the PGA Championship, and sixth in Memorial Tournament. He additionally completed twenty first on the Masters. He does have two top-10 finishes in his U.S. Open historical past. While he hasn’t received this championship, he does nonetheless have the Claret Jug at dwelling, in order that scores further factors with me. One of the most effective gamers all through his bag rating inside the highest 45 in all Strokes Gained classes besides placing. That’s about as constant as you will get relating to a PGA Tour skilled.
Jhonattan Vegas: Something has awoken in Vegas over the previous few weeks, and I personally like to see it. He simply completed runner-up on the Palmetto and ninth on the Byron Nelson in his earlier begin. Why not journey the recent hand? One of the most effective drivers on the PGA Tour, Vegas could be a birdie machine if he will get issues rolling. Torrey Pines calls for a very good driver, and that’s his finest talent on the golf course. He at present ranks fourth in “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee” and 14th in “Driving Distance.”
Jason Kokrak: Jason received his first PGA Tour occasion earlier this 12 months on the CJ Cup and used that momentum to attain his second win on the Charles Schwab only a couple weeks in the past. Aside from these victories, he has top-10 finishes at WGC-Workday, Arnold Palmer, and The Players. At 36, he has all of the size wanted to tame Torrey Pines, rating twenty second in each “Driving Distance” and “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee.” He’s additionally fifth on Tour in “Strokes Gained: Putting,” 14th in “Par 5 Scoring,” and twenty fifth in “Greens in Regulation.” Kokrak has back-to-back top-30 finishes on the Farmers Insurance Open.