Super Bowl Sunday is simply days away, however there’s nonetheless loads of time to make some savvy daily fantasy football or betting investments for the large recreation. With sports activities betting now authorized in half of the continental United States, and extra individuals than ever anticipated to look at from their very own couches as a consequence of COVID-19, sports activities bets data will seemingly be shattered this weekend. That consists of DFS websites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, which could see single-day highs in consumer exercise this Sunday.
Football followers will probably be seeking to shut out the DFS season in type and produce house some winnings earlier than the lengthy seven-month wait for the 2021 season kickoff. With DFS participant swimming pools trimmed down to only two squads, it is going to be as essential as ever for daily fantasy football managers to pinpoint one of the best worth performs. Finding cost-efficient gamers who outperform their value tiers can afford managers studs at different roster spots.
My job, all 17 regular-season weeks and all through the postseason, has been to scan the huge projections on RotoQL and choose my favourite sleepers and worth picks. If you checked this column out two weeks in the past, you’ll have benefited from our recommendation to plug in Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, Leonard Fournette, Darrel Williams, Chris Godwin, Travis Kelce, and Dawson Knox.
These gamers all vastly outperformed their value tiers. This week, with the assistance of RotoQL’s superior projection programs, I will probably be assembling my favourite picks at every place for each DraftKings and FanDuel.
Because solely two groups stay, every web site will probably be that includes their single-game codecs fairly than customary nine-spot lineups. DraftKings customers will compete in “Showdown” mode, which options 5 utility spots and one slot for the “Captain,” who receives a 1.5x multiplier for all DK factors accrued (plus 1.5x pricing). All gamers are nonetheless required to suit below a $50,000 wage cap. All choices are in play, together with QBs, RBs, WRs, TEs, and every groups’ kicker and D/ST.
On FanDuel, single-game contests characteristic an MVP spot (1.5x multiplier for factors however not for value) and 4 AnyFlex spots with a $60,000 wage cap. Positive and damaging scores are impacted by that multiplier, so should you select a quarterback as MVP and so they throw an interception, you’ll lose double the factors you usually would. Conversely, every passing landing is six FD factors (4 in customary scoring) and a speeding or receiving TD is price 9 FD factors.
Since these codecs are vastly totally different from what this column normally covers, this week’s column will record a few of my favourite performs at every place and culminate in two lineups I deem optimum for every main DFS web site. This offers you the uncommon alternative to play the very same lineups I play in order for you. Now let’s make some cash collectively!
You can learn Super Bowl previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7 on BetQL, discover out which facet the professionals are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, observe all of the NFL public betting data, and construct DraftKings lineups on RotoQL.
Let’s break down our prime Super Bowl DFS worth performs, and you will get an thought of why 100,000 DFS gamers belief RotoQL to construct lineups. We continuously monitor pricing and supply essentially the most up-to-date perception and evaluation to maximise your lineup success. Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!
Super Bowl NFL DFS Picks: QB Plays of the Week
RotoQL’s QB of the Week for DraftKings:
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK value: $12,000 | RotoQL projection: 26.9)
Mahomes stays one of the best and most dominant quarterback within the sport, and thus he’s a improbable alternative to guide your squad no matter price or format. We particularly like him on DraftKings for lower than 1 / 4 of the wage cap. The man does issues with a football that we have now by no means seen earlier than, and the second by no means seems too huge for him. He proved that final Super Bowl, when his 286 passing yards and two touchdowns led the Chiefs to a 31-20 comeback victory. He’s the odds-on favourite to carry the Lombardi trophy (and Super Bowl MVP honors) again to Kansas City for the second straight 12 months, in all probability as a result of he went 37-of-49 for 462 yards and three touchdowns when these groups met on Nov. 29. Don’t let KC’s de facto standing because the “road” crew fear you — Mahomes averaged 321.1 passing yards and a pair of.4 touchdowns within the Chiefs’ eight video games away from Arrowhead this season.
RotoQL’s QB of the Week for FanDuel:
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (FD value: $15,000 | RotoQL projection: 28.6)
In actuality, I’ll in all probability be rolling with Mahomes in each codecs, nevertheless it’s merely extra enjoyable to craft two totally different lineups with two totally different QBs. Brady has been no slouch in his twenty first season. If you embrace his three playoff video games, no person has handed for extra gross yards because the 2020 NFL season kicked off (5,493). His 47 whole passing TDs in that span trails solely Aaron Rodgers, and he has an NFL-leading 28 passing TDs in away/impartial video games. That final stat doesn’t play because the huge recreation is at Raymond James, nevertheless it does illustrate how wholesome his clutch gene stays at 43 years younger. Oh, and there’s additionally the truth that he has six Super Bowl rings in 9 appearances. He’s the G.O.A.T., and he’s greater than price $15,000 in your MVP spot in a $60K cap. Just don’t count on him to outscore Mahomes — the Chiefs want gaudy stats out of Mahomes to win, whereas the Bucs can rely far more on their working recreation.
Super Bowl DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB Plays of the Week
RotoQL’s RB of the Week for DraftKings and FanDuel:
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $7,800 | FD: $12,500; RotoQL DK projection: 15.7| RotoQL FD projection: 13.7)
Fournette turned Tampa Bay’s beginning working again in Week 15, and he by no means seemed again. He has six whole touchdowns in that six-week span, together with one in every of the Bucs’ three postseason video games. He additionally averages 104.3 yards from scrimmage in these playoff wins, appropriately incomes him the nickname “Playoff Lenny.” Brady clearly trusts the fourth-year again, as evidenced by his latest enhance in utilization and quantity. Since the playoffs started, Fournette has obtained a 60-percent carry share and performed 74 % of Tampa’s offensive snaps. He has additionally seen a rise in move targets in every of the Bucs’ previous three video games. That final issue seals the argument for Playoff Lenny as a Super Sunday lock. He has caught 14-of-17 postseason passes for 102 yards. If Chris Jones and the Chiefs move rush comes knocking early and sometimes, Fournette may gain advantage from a plethora of dump-offs. Whether you play DK’s full-point PPR format or FD’s half-point PPR, Fournette is price his DFS value tags this weekend. I might even make him the captain of your DraftKings lineup, which might price a complete of $11,700.
RotoQL’s RB2 of the Week for DraftKings and RB of the Week for FanDuel:
Ronald Jones II, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (DK value: $2,200 | FD value: $8,000; RotoQL DK projection: 7.9 | RotoQL FD projection: 7.4)
Jones is available in at $1,000 cheaper than Darrel Williams on FanDuel, so he’s completely extra helpful. But, for some cause he’s solely $2,200 on DraftKings, which is the discount of the 12 months! Sure, he isn’t featured within the move recreation that a lot, however which means little or no to us. FD is a half-PPR format, and DK’s full-PPR doesn’t advantage the substantial value distinction between Jones and Williams. Jones has obtained double-digit carries within the Bucs’ previous 4 video games, and he averaged 5.1 yards per keep on the season. He’s not an thrilling play, however he’s one of the best worth at these costs. All he has to do is fall into the tip zone to get six factors. He had eight touchdowns through the common season.
RotoQL’s RB3 of the Week for DraftKings:
Darrel Williams, Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,200 | RotoQL DK projection: 6.1)
Fans of Clyde Edwards-Helaire should have been ecstatic to see the rookie return for the AFC Championship recreation after Week 15 accidents to his hip and ankle. However, they have been in all probability underwhelmed with CEH’s outcomes: Six carries, one catch, seven whole yards and a TD. Without that landing, he would have completed with below two fantasy factors. RotoQL favors Williams, who has logged 13 carries and posted 13-plus PPR factors in every of the Chiefs’ playoff video games. Don’t fear, he scored a landing final week, too. Simply put, he’s more healthy and extra productive than the rookie proper now.
Super Bowl FanDuel, DraftKings Picks: WR Plays of the Week
RotoQL’s WR of the Week for DraftKings and FanDuel:
Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $10,400 | FD: $14,000; RotoQL DK projection: 21.1 | RotoQL FD projection: 17.6)
Hill has been about as matchup-proof as a large receiver could be, and he is posted 52.1 mixed PPR factors within the Chiefs’ two playoff video games. He scored 60.9 in opposition to these identical Buccaneers again in Week 12, so let’s simply say that we see loads of worth in him at $10,400. The majority of my lineups embrace Hill, and yours ought to, too. (Side observe: he additionally deserves consideration in your MVP spot in FanDuel.)
RotoQL’s WR2 of the Week for DraftKings and FanDuel:
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $8,800 | FD: $12,000; RotoQL projection: 17.0 | RotoQL FD projection: 14.0)
Godwin has emerged as Brady’s favourite weapon, with 44 targets over Tampa Bay’s previous 5 video games. As a consequence, the fourth-year receiver has posted no less than 18.9 PPR factors in 4 of his previous 5 outings. RotoQL lists Godwin’s ceiling at 44.2 factors. He’s an amazing choice if you cannot fairly afford Hill.
RotoQL’s WR3 of the Week for DraftKings and FanDuel:
Mecole Hardman, Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,600 | FD: $7,500; RotoQL: DK projection: 9.0 | RotoQL FD projection: 7.5)
Hardman has very quietly put up back-to-back double-digit fantasy performances, and he is an amazing sleeper choose this Sunday. The second-year receiver has caught eight of his previous 9 targets and located the tip zone final week in Kansas City’s AFC Championship win over Buffalo. There additionally exists the likelihood he finds the tip zone as a punt and kick returner, as he made the Pro Bowl as a returner in his rookie season.
Super Bowl NFL DFS Picks: TE Plays of the Week
RotoQL’s TE of the Week for DraftKings and FanDuel:
Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $11,000 | FD: $14,500 | RotoQL DK projection: 25.4 | RotoQL FD projection: 18.4)
I’ve been saying it for the final two rounds, nevertheless it bears repeating: Travis Kelce is one of the best tight finish in football, and may be essentially the most dependable DFS choice of all time on the place. If you will discover a approach to price range him into your lineup, do it. The man will get peppered with targets from Mahomes — 72 over the course of the previous six video games — and at all times produces (52 catches in that span). He hauled in 13 of his 15 targets final week in opposition to the Bills, ending with 118 yards and two touchdowns. He’s the true deal and an actual steal at $11,000 on DraftKings. He’s an amazing choice in your MVP spot, as properly.
RotoQL’s TE2 of the Week for DraftKings and FanDuel:
Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $4,800 | FD: $7,000 | RotoQL DK projection: 7.3 | RotoQL FD projection: 5.8)
Brate exceeded 4 targets in simply two common season video games, however he is loved no less than 5 targets in every of Tampa Bay’s three playoff contests. The veteran has translated this elevated function into 11 postseason catches for 149 yards and a landing. The Chiefs allowed the third-most fantasy factors to tight ends this season. If you possibly can’t afford to put money into the ceiling of Kelce, you possibly can do worse than the cost-efficient flooring of Brate.
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Super Bowl NFL DFS Value Plays:
RotoQL’s Best Bargain Bin Buys:
Scotty Miller, WR, TB (DK: $3,400 | FD: $6,500):
The underrated slot receiver might discover himself open for a giant play or two in 4 and five-wide units. Miller discovered the tip zone final week and posted 10.6 DK/11.6 FD factors.
Kansas City D/ST (DK: $2,600):
The Chiefs protection has vastly improved below defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo this season, and he ought to be capable to revenue off some turnovers Sunday. Brady threw three interceptions in three consecutive possessions within the second half in opposition to Green Bay final week.
Ryan Succop, Okay, TB (DK: $3,800 | FD: $8,500):
RotoQL favors Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker (projecting him at 10 factors to Succop’s seven), however I might choose for Succop should you want an affordable supply of factors. Brady’s kickers have traditionally succeeded within the huge recreation, and Bruce Arians in all probability will not gamble on too many fourth downs early.
Super Bowl NFL DFS Picks: Optimal Lineups for DraftKings Showdown, FanDuel Single-Game Lineups
My Optimal Lineup in DraftKings:
Captain (1.5x): Leonard Fournette, RB, TB ($11,700)
FLEX: Patrick Mahomes, QB, KC ($12,000)
FLEX: Tyreek Hill, WR, KC ($10,400)
FLEX: Chris Godwin, WR, TB ($8,800)
FLEX: Cameron Brate, TE, TB ($4,800)
FLEX: Ronald Jones II, RB, TB ($2,200)
My Optimal Lineup in FanDuel:
MVP (1.5x): Tom Brady, TB, QB ($15,000)
AnyFLEX: Travis Kelce, KC, TE ($14,500)
AnyFLEX: Tyreek Hill, KC, WR ($14,000)
AnyFLEX: Ronald Jones II, TB, RB ($8,000)
AnyFLEX: Ryan Succop, TB, Okay ($8,500)
Thanks to all my loyal readers all through the season. I hope you all take pleasure in what needs to be a improbable Super Bowl and that you simply carry house some severe DFS money to shut out an amazing season!