With the 2021 NCAA Tournament field now introduced and March Madness motion being able to tip off, individuals have already began to fill out their brackets and do lot of analysis. The areas have been examined, sleepers have been recognized, and the winners of most areas have already been determined.
In the seek for an ideal bracket, there’s one factor that tends to confound even essentially the most expert bracketologists. That’s the 9-8 matchup. Every yr, these video games are coin-flips and in 2021, it is no totally different. Every 9 vs. 8 matchup will show to be tough and although few will decide the winner of this sport to advance previous the No. 1 seed they’re likely to play, it is nonetheless disheartening to decide on the incorrect group in that matchup.
This yr, the Oklahoma Sooners and Missouri Tigers are participating in a kind of 9-8 video games; and that will nicely show to be essentially the most troublesome matchup to prognosticate.
The Sooners and Tigers are a lot alike. Both have large wins over ranked groups. Both have scuffled down the stretch. Both have even posted comparable numbers in most main stat classes on either side of the ball. Picking between Oklahoma (15-10, 9-8 Big 12) and Missouri (16-9, 8-8 SEC) will show to be robust and will have a big effect in workplace bracket swimming pools and different contests.
With that, this is all the pieces you have to know concerning the matchup between Oklahoma and Missouri, together with rankings, key gamers, season breakdowns and extra:
Oklahoma vs. Missouri odds
Oklahoma-Missouri is scheduled to be twenty eighth sport performed in the primary spherical of March Madness. It would be the final of the 9-8 matchups performed through the 2021 NCAA Tournament and is the fourth-to-last tip-off of Round 1. Per DraftKings Sportsbook, Oklahoma is favored by two factors in this one. Below are the main points of their sport, together with the betting odds, time, TV and venue.
- Odds: Oklahoma (-2)
- Date: Saturday, March 20
- Time: 7:25 p.m. ET
- TV: TNT
- Arena: Lucas Oil Stadium Equality (North)
Oklahoma (15-10, 9-8 Big 12)
Oklahoma has been one of many higher applications in the Big 12 over the course of the final 25 years. The Sooners have been to the NCAA Tournament 20 instances in 25 probabilities since 1995 and has made it to the Final Four twice in that span. They additionally produced No. 1 general decide Blake Griffin from the 2009 NBA Draft and Buddy Hield, who’s on observe to be one of many NBA’s finest shooters of all time. Trae Young additionally blossomed right into a star there.
While the Sooners have produced loads of NBA-caliber expertise through the years, they’ve by no means received March Madness. They have been the runner-up twice, the final of which got here in 1988, however they’re going to be trying to go on a deeper-than-expected match run in Lon Kruger’s tenth season on the helm.
That mentioned, the Sooners have scuffled of late in their quest to qualify. They are simply 1-5 in their final six video games and their solely win in that span came visiting the 2-22 Iowa State Cyclones. And that Big 12 Tournament victory was by a mere six factors.
That mentioned, the Sooners do have some spectacular wins on their schedule. Notably, they’d a three-game successful streak in opposition to top-10 groups Kansas, Texas, and Alabama in late January. They even have crushed West Virginia twice. However, in addition they have misplaced to Xavier and Kansas State this yr and have misplaced seven different video games in opposition to ranked groups. Their expertise in opposition to highly-ranked groups in the stacked Big 12 ought to give them an opportunity to compete with the robust competitors they’re going to face in the NCAA Tournament.
- NET rating: 37
- KenPom rating: 39
- Quad 1 file: 5-9
- Quad 2 file: 0-0
- Quad 3 file: 4-1
- Quad 4 file: 6-0
- Offensive effectivity rating: thirty sixth
- Defensive effectivity: 53rd
Austin Reaves (6-5, 206-pound senior guard)
17.7 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 4.7 apg
De’Vion Harmon (6-2, 198-pound sophomore guard)
12.9 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.1 apg
Brady Manek (6-9, 231-pound senior ahead)
10.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 0.9 apg
Umoja Gibson (6-1, 176-pound redshirt senior ahead)
9.5 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.2 apg
Elijah Harkless (6-3, 195-pound junior guard)
7.8 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 2.4 apg
Missouri (16-9, 8-8 SEC)
Missouri is one other program that has carried out nicely over the past 20+ years. Since 1999, they’ve made it to March Madness 12 instances and so they have achieved in order part of the Big 12 and the SEC.
This yr, Missouri was a little bit of a curler coaster. They began the yr 6-0 with spectacular non-conference wins over ranked groups Illinois (a 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament) and Oregon whereas additionally beating two different match groups, Wichita State and Oral Roberts. They additionally beat two different ranked groups, Tennesee and Alabama.
However, Missouri pale a bit down the stretch. They have been 3-6 in their final 9 video games and misplaced to Ole Miss twice and Georgia as soon as throughout that span. If they wish to play nicely in opposition to Oklahoma, they will should play as they did in the sooner levels of the season versus the later levels. Either means, Cuonzo Martin has achieved an amazing job of getting this Missouri program on the match path.
- NET rating: 47
- KenPom rating: 51
- Quad 1 file: 7-6
- Quad 2 file: 2-3
- Quad 3 file: 6-0
- Quad 4 file: 1-0
- Offensive effectivity rating: 51st
- Defensive effectivity: 58th
Dru Smith (6-3, 203-pound senior guard)
14.1 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.9 apg
Xavier Pinson (6-2, 170-pound junior guard)
14.1 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.8 apg
Jeremiah Tilmon (6-10, 260-pound senior ahead)
12.3 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 0.9 apg
Mark Smith (6-5, 220-pound senior guard)
9.6 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.0 apg
Kobe Brown (6-7, 240-pound sophomore ahead)
8.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 0.8 apg
Oklahoma vs. Missouri prediction
This is arguably the largest toss-up of the 8-9 video games. Both groups evaluate fairly favorably, as you’ll be able to see by way of the desk under.
|Oklahoma (8)||Team||Missouri (9)|
|74.8||Points Per Game||73.6|
|36.6||Rebounds Per Game||35.7|
|44.2||Overall Shooting proportion||44.9|
So, Missouri performs barely sooner and shoots slightly higher than Oklahoma, however the Sooners shoot a bit higher from deep and are higher on the glass. Both groups have three double-digit scorers on their roster and have one participant that may shoot it 38 % or higher from past the arc.
All advised, this sport nicely might come right down to the ultimate possession and with each groups on a skid of late, it is arduous to know which one to belief. That mentioned, in a sport that might be determined by one shot, it is normally higher to belief the group with the higher 3-point taking pictures. The Sooners qualify, particularly since Umoja Gibson has made a whopping 41.5 % of his 3-pointers this yr whereas taking 5.4 3-point pictures per sport.
History of 8 vs. 9 matchups in NCAA Tournament
In fact, all through the historical past of the NCAA Tournament, the 9 and eight seed matchup has been comparatively even. It’s the largest coin-flip on any bracket, and it is the one one of many typical first-round matchups the place the underdog has a bonus over the higher-seeded group. The No. 9 seeds maintain a slight fringe of 72-68.
If you are current historical past, the No. 8 seed has held a slight fringe of late. They have posted a 24-20 file over the past 11 NCAA Tournaments, however it’s price noting that No. 9 seeds received all of the 9-8 matchups final yr.
So, what does this imply? The tendencies will not give us a lot of an edge in this coin-flip sport, so that you’re simply going to should go along with your intestine. Oklahoma looks as if the higher decide by the slimmest of margins in our eyes, however a powerful case might be made for Missouri as nicely.
Below is a breakdown of the wins 9 seeds have loved over 8 seeds the final 10 tournaments:
|2019||UCF 73, VCU 58|
|Baylor 78, Syracuse 69|
|Oklahoma 95, Ole Miss 72|
|Washington 78, Utah State 61|
|2018||Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 83|
|Kansas State 69, Creighton 59|
|Florida State 67, Missouri 54|
|2017||Michigan State 78, Miami 58|
|2016||Butler 71, Texas Tech 61|
|Providence 70, USC 69|
|Uconn 74, Colorado 67|
|2014||Pittsburgh 77, Colorado 48|
|2013||Temple 76, NC State 72|
|Wichita State 73, Pittsburgh 55|
|2012||St. Louis 61, Memphis 54|
|2011||Illinois 73, UNLV 62|
|2010||Wake Forest 81, Texas 80|
|Northern Iowa 69, UNLV 66|
|2009||Siena 74, Ohio State 72|
|Texas A&M 79, BYU 66|