NFL picks, predictions against spread Week 4: Tom Brady, Bucs rout Patriots; 49ers, Steelers lose again

Week 3 introduced extra readability in regards to the identification and reliability for all 32 groups within the NFL, however that does not imply the picks and predictions against spread get any simpler for Week 4. This week presents one huge spread however principally contests that appear like one-possession video games.

Although there are 5 undefeated groups and 5 winless groups, there are also 22 groups in between with little separation. That ought to make for some extra attention-grabbing motion.

Here’s how Sporting News is navigating via all of the numbers for an additional full slate of 16 matchups:

(Game odds courtesy of FanDuel )

Rams overtake Buccaneers at No. 1; 49ers, Chiefs, Steelers fall big for Week 4

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NFL picks against the spread for Week 4

  • Game of the Week: Cardinals at Rams (-6, 54.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox

Here are two of these 3-0 groups, tied for first place within the loaded NFC West. The Cardinals are scorching on offense with Kyler Murray; the Rams are doing it in a distinct big-play approach with Matthew Stafford. Expect a shootout with numerous weapons and deep photographs. The Rams have a bit of extra defensive impression right here with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey than the Cards have with Chanlder Jones and J.J. Watt.

Pick: Rams win 31-27 however fail to cowl the spread.

  • Game of Midweek: Jaguars at Bengals (-7.5, 46.5 o/u)

Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network

The Jaguars drafted Trevor Lawrence No. 1 general following the Bengals taking Joe Burrow No. 1 general. Burrow seems the a part of a long-term franchise quarterback and Lawrence is getting there. Cincinnati has been one of many good early-season surprises with its harmful well-rounded offense and upgraded protection. The Jags present some extra battle on a brief week as Urban Meyer returns to Ohio, however the former Buckeye Burrow’s higher help permits him to remain a rating forward of Lawrence.

Pick: Bengals win 27-20 however fail to cowl the spread.

MORE: Biggest winners and losers from NFL’s Week 3

  • Rivalry of the Week: Raiders at Chargers (-3.5, 52.5 o/u)

Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Raiders are overachieving with excessive passing quantity from Derek Carr. Their protection has performed over its head but it surely nonetheless has key lapses. that does not bode effectively for going through red-hot Justin Herbert and the Chargers. They have extra top-flight impression receivers and a greater general protection on each stage, which is forcing key takeaways early for Brandon Staley. The Chargers hand the Raiders their first loss and transfer into first place with Joey Bosa and others cleansing up effectively on Carr.

Pick: Chargers win 24-20 and canopy the spread.

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Getty Images

  • Lock of the Week: Buccaneers (-6.5, 48.5 o/u) over Patriots

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET,  NBC

You might have heard that Tom Brady is returning to New England along with his new Super Bowl champions. Although Brady vs. Bill Belichick is the marquee attraction, that is extra in regards to the Bucs being a superior general group, save for his or her injury-depleted secondary. They will cease the run and strain Mac Jones, whereas the Patriots can take away just one or two of Brady’s myriad weapons. Brady makes certain Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown (if wholesome) even have loads of enjoyable as ex-Pats. It’s about time they might dwell free and get together in Foxborough as ringed champions.

Pick: Buccaneers win 38-10 and canopy the spread.

  • Upset of the Week: Colts (+2.5, 43 o/u) over Dolphins

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Colts are on the lookout for their first win after going 11-5 final season. The Dolphins are 1-2 after simply lacking the playoffs at 10-6 final season. Indianapolis will get a break going through a restricted offense led by former Colt Jacoby Brissett and a foul run protection that performs to its power with Jonathan Taylor and the offensive line, even with out Quenton Nelson. Desperation will be certain that the Colts get within the win column.

Pick: Colts win 20-17.

MORE: Which 2020 NFL playoff teams are in trouble after Week 3?

  • Washington Football Team (-1.5, 48.5 o/u) at Falcons

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

WFT’s offense and protection ran right into a buzzsaw in Buffalo. Handling Atlanta is much more favorable because the hosts can’t cease the first playmaking trio of Antonio Gibson, Terry McLaurin and Logan Thomas. Washington’s protection wakes up within the cross rush vs. Matt Ryan and has sufficient secondary power to comprise his high targets. The Falcons return to flopping again with questionable safety and a misplaced all-around protection at residence.

Pick: Washington wins 30-24 and covers the spread

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(Getty Images)

  • Lions at Bears (-3, 42.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Lions have had possibilities to win all three of their video games. The Bears try to determine quarterback between Justin Fields, Andy Dalton and Nick Foles. Detroit is making simply sufficient errors to fall wanting successful. Chicago is doing what it may possibly to win video games with protection, and may maintain it easy with extra of David Montgomery within the operating sport. Matt Nagy and his group want this win badly and get it.

Pick: Bears win 23-17 and canopy the spread.

  • Titans at Jets (-7.5, 46 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Titans was once referred to as the Oilers. The Jets was once referred to as the Titans. Going from Nashville to New Jersey, Tennessee will personal that title with loads of Derrick Henry establishing a sizzling Ryan Tannehill. Zach Wilson get a welcome respite from a troublesome defensive stretch to have his greatest rookei sport but. But even some massive performs from former Titans broad receiver Corey Davis will not be sufficient.

Pick: Titans win 31-22 and canopy the spread.

MORE: NFL rookie QB grades for Week 3

  • Browns (-1.5, 52.5 o/u) at Vikings

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Former Vikings offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski returns to Minnesota with the same run-heavy sport plan establishing high-percentage passing for Baker Mayfield. Stefanski was accountable, too for getting Kirk Cousins again on monitor. This mirror-image sport is a detailed one to name however Cleveland is the higher group, particularly with the protection approaching sturdy. Look for Odell Beckham Jr. to get in on the big-play enjoyable in order that Mayfield can outduel Cousins and Minnesota’s particular wideouts.

Pick: Browns win 30-27 and canopy the spread.

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(Getty Images)

  • Panthers at Cowboys (-4.5, 50.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The 3-0 Panthers have had an ideal defensive begin, supported by stable QB play from Sam Darnold. Without Christian McCaffrey and Jaycee Horn, they do not have the game-changing offensive cog or sufficient protection punch vs. Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. The Cowboys will check that D in Big D with a variety of cross performs to use the very best matchups. Darnold will not fairly be capable of outdeul a dealing Dak.

Pick: Cowboys win 27-24 however fail to cowl the spread.

  • Giants at Saints (-7.5, 43.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Giants wasted a giant alternative for a primary victory against the Falcons. Saquon Barkley is again up and operating at his ordinary excessive stage, however extra accidents have befallen the receiving corps round up-and-down Daniel Jones. The Saints are 2-1 on the again of progressive run-oriented offense from Sean Payton. Their protection is taking part in energetic and impressed, which can proceed within the Superdome opener. New Orleans does it for Archie and Eli in an emotional victory for the fan base.

Pick: Saints win 23-13 and canopy the spread.

  • Chiefs (-6, 55 o/u) at Eagles

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Chiefs return to the place ailing coach Andy Reid virtually gained his first Super Bowl. The Eagles are coming off a brief week however have the operating sport and distinctive receivers to maneuver the ball effectively on Kansas City as Jalen Hurts is up for a shootout with Patrick Mahomes. It takes a bit of Mahomes magic to lastly escape with victory within the fourth quarter.

Pick: Chiefs win 31-27 however fail to cowl the spread.

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(Getty Images)

  • Texans at Bills (-16.5, 48 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Bills threw down on Washington and the Texans are caught with Davis Mills at quarterback and never a lot else on offense against a Bills’ protection that is develop into nasty on most ranges. Numbers do not get greater than that for one-win group vs. one-loss group this early. Tyrod Taylor will miss this revenge sport and Buffalo might be in management wire to wire with Josh Allen.

Pick: Bills win 34-17 and canopy the spread.

  • Seahawks at 49ers (-2.5, 52.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox

The Seahawks’ protection seems misplaced and confused. The 49ers are also struggling for stable secondary play with mounting accidents. Both groups ought to be capable of do what they need offensively with Russell Wilson and Jimmy Garoppolo (with one other facet of Trey Lance). The Seahawks can run a bit of higher with Chris Carson and Wilson will discover the precise favorable matchups for DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett for one or two massive performs. Seattle will get a bit of determined on the street to not fall again additional within the NFC West, whereas San Francisco has a gentle hangover from the end of the Green Bay sport.

Pick: Seahawks win 34-31.

  • Ravens at Broncos (-1, 44.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

The Broncos are 3-0 due to taking part in a trio fo groups that each one are 0-3. The Ravens have been sloppy defensively however getting higher. Lamar Jackson is taking part in effectively when protected and getting the required assist from his receivers. Look for Grag Roman to get of Vic Fangio with the right combination of operating, broad receiver and tight finish Mark Andrews. Teddy Bridgewater retains taking part in effectively, however Baltimore’s protection will get extra on monitor to take a low-scoring battle of attrition.

Pick: Ravens win 23-20.

  • Steelers at Packers (-7, 45.5)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

These groups met in Super Bowl 45 with Aaron Rodgers outdueling Ben Roethlisberger in Dallas. Rodgers continues to be acting at a excessive stage greater than a decade later whereas Big Ben is on his final legs (and one weak proper arm). The Packers get a break with a shaky Steelers’ offensive line and potential key broad receiver accidents. Joe Barry’s protection can do loads to comprise Najee Harris. Rodgers will torch Pittsburgh’s protection within the slot at occasions with Davante Adams and likewise hit on some extra massive cross performs.

Pick: Packers win 24-13 and canopy the spread.

Vinnie Iyer’s 2021 picks:

  • Week 3 file against the spread: 8-7
  • Week 3 file straight up: 9-6
  • Season ATS: 21-26
  • Season straight up: 28-19

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