NFL picks, predictions against spread Week 4: Buccaneers rout Patriots; 49ers, Steelers lose again

Week 3 introduced extra readability concerning the id and reliability for all 32 groups within the NFL, however that does not imply the picks and predictions against spread get any simpler for Week 4. This week provides one huge spread however principally contests that appear to be one-possession video games.

Although there are 5 undefeated groups and 5 winless groups, there are also 22 groups in between with little separation. That ought to make for some extra attention-grabbing motion.

Here’s how Sporting News is navigating via all of the numbers for one more full slate of 16 matchups:

(Game odds courtesy of FanDuel )

Rams overtake Buccaneers at No. 1; 49ers, Chiefs, Steelers fall big for Week 4

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NFL picks against the spread for Week 4

  • Game of the Week: Cardinals at Rams (-4, 54.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox

Here are two of these 3-0 groups, tied for first place within the loaded NFC West. The Cardinals are scorching on offense with Kyler Murray; the Rams are doing it in a special big-play method with Matthew Stafford. Expect a shootout with various weapons and deep pictures. The Rams have somewhat extra defensive impression right here with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey than the Cards have with Chanlder Jones and J.J. Watt.

Pick: Rams win 31-27 and canopy the spread.

  • Game of Midweek: Jaguars at Bengals (-7.5, 46.5 o/u)

Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network

The Jaguars drafted Trevor Lawrence No. 1 general following the Bengals taking Joe Burrow No. 1 general. Burrow appears to be like the a part of a long-term franchise quarterback and Lawrence is getting there. Cincinnati has been one of many good early-season surprises with its harmful well-rounded offense and upgraded protection. The Jags present some extra combat on a brief week as Urban Meyer returns to Ohio, however the former Buckeye Burrow’s higher help permits him to remain a rating forward of Lawrence.

Pick: Bengals win 27-20 however fail to cowl the spread.

Result: Bengals win 24-21 however fail to cowl the spread.

MORE: Biggest winners and losers from NFL’s Week 3

  • Rivalry of the Week: Raiders at Chargers (-3, 51.5 o/u)

Monday 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Raiders are overachieving with excessive passing quantity from Derek Carr. Their protection has performed over its head nevertheless it nonetheless has key lapses. that does not bode properly for dealing with red-hot Justin Herbert and the Chargers. They have extra top-flight impression receivers and a greater general protection on each degree, which is forcing key takeaways early for Brandon Staley. The Chargers hand the Raiders their first loss and transfer into first place with Joey Bosa and others cleansing up properly on Carr.

Pick: Chargers win 24-20 and canopy the spread.

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Getty Images

  • Lock of the Week: Buccaneers (-7, 49.5 o/u) over Patriots

Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET,  NBC

You might have heard that Tom Brady is returning to New England along with his new Super Bowl champions. Although Brady vs. Bill Belichick is the marquee attraction, that is extra concerning the Bucs being a superior general group, save for his or her injury-depleted secondary. They will cease the run and stress Mac Jones, whereas the Patriots can take away just one or two of Brady’s myriad weapons. Brady makes positive Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown (if wholesome) even have loads of enjoyable as ex-Pats. It’s about time they may dwell free and celebration in Foxborough as ringed champions.

Pick: Buccaneers win 38-10 and canopy the spread.

MORE: Why Patriots have zero chance to beat Tom Brady, Buccaneers in revenge game

  • Upset of the Week: Colts (+1.5, 42 o/u) over Dolphins

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Colts are in search of their first win after going 11-5 final season. The Dolphins are 1-2 after simply lacking the playoffs at 10-6 final season. Indianapolis will get a break dealing with a restricted offense led by former Colt Jacoby Brissett and a foul run protection that performs to its energy with Jonathan Taylor and the offensive line, even with out Quenton Nelson. Desperation will make certain the Colts get within the win column.

Pick: Colts win 20-17.

MORE: Which 2020 NFL playoff teams are in trouble after Week 3?

  • Washington Football Team (-1.5, 47.5 o/u) at Falcons

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

WFT’s offense and protection ran right into a buzzsaw in Buffalo. Handling Atlanta is much more favorable because the hosts can’t cease the first playmaking trio of Antonio Gibson, Terry McLaurin and Logan Thomas. Washington’s protection wakes up within the cross rush vs. Matt Ryan and has sufficient secondary energy to comprise his high targets. The Falcons return to flopping again with questionable safety and a misplaced all-around protection at house.

Pick: Washington wins 30-24 and covers the spread

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(Getty Images)

  • Lions at Bears (-3, 41.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Lions have had probabilities to win all three of their video games. The Bears try to determine quarterback between Justin Fields, Andy Dalton and Nick Foles. Detroit is making simply sufficient errors to fall wanting successful. Chicago is doing what it may well to win video games with protection, and may hold it easy with extra of David Montgomery within the working sport. Matt Nagy and his group want this win badly and get it.

Pick: Bears win 23-17 and canopy the spread.

  • Titans at Jets (-6.5, 44.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Titans was once referred to as the Oilers. The Jets was once referred to as the Titans. Going from Nashville to New Jersey, Tennessee will personal that identify with loads of Derrick Henry organising a scorching Ryan Tannehill. Zach Wilson get a welcome respite from a tricky defensive stretch to have his greatest rookei sport but. But even some large performs from former Titans extensive receiver Corey Davis will not be sufficient.

Pick: Titans win 31-22 and canopy the spread.

MORE: NFL rookie QB grades for Week 3

  • Browns (-2.5, 51.5 o/u) at Vikings

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Former Vikings offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski returns to Minnesota with the same run-heavy sport plan organising high-percentage passing for Baker Mayfield. Stefanski was accountable, too for getting Kirk Cousins again on observe. This mirror-image sport is a detailed one to name however Cleveland is the higher group, particularly with the protection approaching robust. Look for Odell Beckham Jr. to get in on the big-play enjoyable in order that Mayfield can outduel Cousins and Minnesota’s particular wideouts.

Pick: Browns win 30-27 and canopy the spread.

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(Getty Images)

  • Panthers at Cowboys (-4.5, 51.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The 3-0 Panthers have had a terrific defensive begin, supported by stable QB play from Sam Darnold. Without Christian McCaffrey and Jaycee Horn, they do not have the game-changing offensive cog or sufficient protection punch vs. Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. The Cowboys will take a look at that D in Big D with a variety of cross performs to use the perfect matchups. Darnold will not fairly be capable of outdeul a dealing Dak.

Pick: Cowboys win 27-24 however fail to cowl the spread.

  • Giants at Saints (-7, 41.5 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Giants wasted a giant alternative for a primary victory against the Falcons. Saquon Barkley is again up and working at his normal excessive degree, however extra accidents have befallen the receiving corps round up-and-down Daniel Jones. The Saints are 2-1 on the again of progressive run-oriented offense from Sean Payton. Their protection is enjoying lively and impressed, which is able to proceed within the Superdome opener. New Orleans does it for Archie and Eli in an emotional victory for the fan base.

Pick: Saints win 23-13 and canopy the spread.

  • Chiefs (-7, 54.5 o/u) at Eagles

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Chiefs return to the place ailing coach Andy Reid nearly received his first Super Bowl. The Eagles are coming off a brief week however have the working sport and distinctive receivers to maneuver the ball properly on Kansas City as Jalen Hurts is up for a shootout with Patrick Mahomes. It takes somewhat Mahomes magic to lastly escape with victory within the fourth quarter.

Pick: Chiefs win 31-27 however fail to cowl the spread.

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  • Texans at Bills (-17.5, 47 o/u)

Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The Bills threw down on Washington and the Texans are caught with Davis Mills at quarterback and never a lot else on offense against a Bills protection that is grow to be nasty on most ranges. Numbers do not get larger than that for one-win group vs. one-loss group this early. Tyrod Taylor will miss this revenge sport and Buffalo can be in management wire to wire with Josh Allen.

Pick: Bills win 35-17 and canopy the spread.

  • Seahawks at 49ers (-2.5, 52.5 o/u)

Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox

The Seahawks’ protection appears to be like misplaced and confused. The 49ers are also struggling for stable secondary play with mounting accidents. Both groups ought to be capable of do what they need offensively with Russell Wilson and Jimmy Garoppolo (with one other aspect of Trey Lance). The Seahawks can run somewhat higher with Chris Carson and Wilson will discover the appropriate favorable matchups for DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett for one or two large performs. Seattle will get somewhat determined on the street to not fall again additional within the NFC West, whereas San Francisco has a gentle hangover from the end of the Green Bay sport.

Pick: Seahawks win 34-31.

  • Ravens (-1, 44.5 o/u) at Broncos

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

The Broncos are 3-0 due to enjoying a trio fo groups that each one are 0-3. The Ravens have been sloppy defensively however getting higher. Lamar Jackson is enjoying properly when protected and getting the required assist from his receivers. Look for Grag Roman to get of Vic Fangio with the right combination of working, extensive receiver and tight finish Mark Andrews. Teddy Bridgewater retains enjoying properly, however Baltimore’s protection will get extra on observe to take a low-scoring battle of attrition.

Pick: Ravens win 23-20 and canopy the spread.

  • Steelers at Packers (-6.5, 45.5)

Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

These groups met in Super Bowl 45 with Aaron Rodgers outdueling Ben Roethlisberger in Dallas. Rodgers continues to be acting at a excessive degree greater than a decade later whereas Big Ben is on his final legs (and one weak proper arm). The Packers get a break with a shaky Steelers’ offensive line and potential key extensive receiver accidents. Joe Barry’s protection can do a lot to comprise Najee Harris. Rodgers will torch Pittsburgh’s protection within the slot at instances with Davante Adams and in addition hit on some extra large cross performs.

Pick: Packers win 24-13 and canopy the spread.

Vinnie Iyer’s 2021 picks:

  • Week 3 file against the spread: 8-7
  • Week 3 file straight up: 9-6
  • Season ATS: 21-26
  • Season straight up: 28-19

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