Every sport on the final scheduled day of the MLB common season begins at 3 p.m. on Sunday, with the hope that some kind of loopy, compelling situations play out, just like what occurred on the final day of the 2011 common season.
That definitely is feasible in 2021. Fingers crossed.
Let’s check out the playoff berths/hierarchy nonetheless in play heading into the final three days of the regular-season schedule.
National League West
Before we discuss situations for the NL West, we now have to speak about WHY profitable the division is so darn essential. The division winner strikes on to the best-of-five NLDS, which begins Oct. 8, and may have home-field benefit all through the playoffs. The West runner-up would be the first NL wild-card staff, which means they host the win-or-go-home one-game wild-card “series” on Oct. 6. If they win that one, they’d transfer to the NLDS towards … the NL West winner, which would be the staff with MLB’s finest file. And in the event that they win that collection, regardless of that they’d have a a lot better regular-season file than both Milwaukee or Atlanta, they wouldn’t have home-field within the NLCS as a result of they’re a wild-card staff.
The one-game wild-card collection is a scary thought, and it’s hardly a good reward for a staff that’s been one of many best possible in baseball all season. Maybe “fair” is a poor alternative of phrases. But the reality is that this: The Giants and Dodgers have the perfect two information in baseball, however one in every of them might very nicely be eradicated on Day 2 of the 2021 postseason. What sort of playoff system is that, the place a 102-win staff goes straight into a do-or-die sport and a sub-90 win staff (the Braves) will get the cushion of taking part in a best-of-five collection? That they’d should play a Cardinals staff that simply rattled off a 17-game profitable streak to clinch the second NL wild-card spot isn’t precisely interesting, both.
Now, on to the state of affairs, which is fairly primary. Here are the information:
SFG 104-54, —
LAD 102-56, 2 video games again
Both groups are taking part in nice proper now — they’re each 8-2 of their previous 10 — as they’ve all season. The Giants end at house with three towards the Padres, who’re simply taking part in spoiler after a disastrous previous month; the Dodgers end with three at house towards the Brewers, who’re already locked into the No. 2 seed within the NL playoffs.
The staff with the perfect file wins the division, clearly. If they’re tied, they’ll play a tiebreaker contest, a Game 163 that may depend as a regular-season sport. That sport would be Oct. 4, and the Giants would host, because of their 10-9 benefit within the regular-season collection towards the Dodgers.
So, yeah. The Dodgers want the Giants to lose two video games towards the Padres to have any shot. One win ensures the Giants a tie, two ensures the division title.
AL wild card
As of Friday morning, with three video games every remaining for the 4 groups nonetheless in play for the 2 AL wild-card spots, there are 24 totally different situations nonetheless in play — together with a four-way tie at 91-71 (although that’s removed from probably). The cause for thus many situations is that this: None of the 4 groups performs one another, so all 4 might go 3-0 or all 4 might go 0-3 or any mixture in between.
There aren’t any tiebreakers in figuring out precise playoff berths; if two (or extra) groups are tied for the final spot within the postseason, there will probably be a tiebreaker sport (or video games). Now, if two groups tie for the No. 1 wild-card seed, each are in and home-field benefit for the wild-card sport is decided by head-to-head file this season.
First, listed here are the standings …
NYY 91-68, +2
SEA 89-70, —
BOS 89-70, —
TOR 88-71, 1 again of second WC spot
So the Yankees are at present WC1, with the Red Sox and Mariners tied for WC2.
The Yankees are clearly in nice form, as they need to be after happening the street and sweeping the Red Sox, then taking two of three in Toronto in one other big collection. They host Tampa Bay — the Rays have already clinched the AL’s No. 1 seed, however at 98 wins they’ve a shot at 100 for the primary time in franchise historical past, and so they aren’t going to roll over — within the final three video games, and even one win ensures the Yankees a minimum of a spot in a possible tiebreaker sport. If the Yankees go 2-1, they’re in as the highest wild-card staff.
The Red Sox are within the strategy of giving freely their seat on the desk. They’re tied with the Mariners for the second wild-card spot, but it surely positive appears like they’re not making the postseason. Getting swept at house by the Yankees was dangerous sufficient, however to observe that up by going to Baltimore and shedding two of three to an Orioles staff that has 107 losses this season? That ought to rattling close to be disqualifying by itself. The Sox end with three on the Nationals, one other staff lengthy since out of competition, however even the Bad News Bears would give Boston hassle proper about now.
On the opposite facet of the coin, the Mariners are taking part in nice baseball, having received 10 of 11 — together with seven Ws towards the A’s, which knocked Oakland out of the playoff image — to climb into a tie for the second wild-card spot. Not gonna lie, that felt like an impossibility for a lot of the season. But right here they’re, and so they end with three at house towards the Angels. They’ll have face Shohei Ohtani, the hitter, however he received’t take the mound within the collection. Considering that he’s allowed two or fewer runs in 9 of his previous 11 begins, that’s in all probability good for Seattle. The Mariners, as you in all probability know, haven’t made the postseason since 2001, the longest present streak in baseball.
The Blue Jays had essentially the most opportunistic final-week schedule, internet hosting a staff they had been chasing (the Yankees) after which internet hosting the AL’s worst membership. But they misplaced two of three to New York and just about have to comb the Orioles, then hope the Yankees, Mariners and Red Sox stumble.
Let’s take a look at a few situations — not all 24 as a result of who has time?
First, let’s say the standings after Game 162 look precisely just like the standings do now, with the Yankees on high, the Mariners and Sox tied and the Jays a sport again. Toronto’s eradicated, after all, and the Yankees are WC1. The Mariners and Red Sox would play a tiebreaking Game 163 in Boston; the Sox get homefield benefit as a result of they received the season collection, 4-3. Easy sufficient.
In our subsequent state of affairs, let’s say the Yankees lose two of three to the Rays and the M’s and Sox each sweep, so these three groups are tied at 92-70. Let’s simply take it straight from MLB.com.
The three groups would select/obtain A, B and C designations. Club A would host Club B. The winner of that sport could be one Wild Card membership, whereas the loser would then play Club C on the street to find out the opposite. The winners of the 2 video games would face one another within the Wild Card Game.
The subsequent one we’ll take a look at appears possibly essentially the most believable. In this one, the Yankees end with the perfect file, and the M’s, Sox and Jays all end tied. Again, straight from MLB.com.
The three tied groups would select/obtain A, B and C designations. Club A would host Club B on Monday, Oct. 4. The winner of that sport would then host Club C on Tuesday to find out the second Wild Card spot. The AL Wild Card Game could be pushed again from Tuesday on this state of affairs.
And, as a result of everybody loves chaos, let’s say the Yankees are swept by the Rays, the Jays sweep the Orioles and the Red Sox and Mariners each go 2-1. Everyone could be 91-71. You understand how this works … straight from MLB.com.
If the Yankees, Red Sox, Blue Jays and Mariners had been to all wind up tied for these two spots, we’d have a mini-tournament on our fingers. The golf equipment would select/obtain their A, B, C and D designations. On Monday, Oct. 4, Club A would host Club B and Club C would host Club D. The winners of these two video games could be the Wild Card groups and would face one another within the ballpark of whoever had the superior head-to-head file.
Wouldn’t that be enjoyable?