It’s tough to fill out an NCAA Tournament bracket with out selecting not less than one 13-over-4 upset, isn’t it?
That’s proper in the bracket-picking candy spot. It’s nonetheless dangerous, certain, however these upsets occur usually sufficient that you just don’t really feel such as you’re going out on the thinnest of March limbs. As you will see beneath, 13 seed upsets are on the coronary heart of our love for the NCAA Tournament.
Here’s an entire breakdown of the historical past of 13 vs. 4 upsets in the NCAA Tournament, together with essentially the most memorable underdog runs and necessary numbers to know whereas filling out your March Madness bracket.
History of 13 seed vs. 4 seed upsets in NCAA Tournament
In the 40 years of the expanded NCAA Tournament bracket — the sector ballooned to 64 groups for the 1985 version — a 13 seed has won not less than one sport in 26 completely different tournaments. In 4 years, a number of 13 seeds have won video games: 1987 (Xavier and Missouri State), 2001 (Indiana State and Kent State), 2008 (Siena and San Diego) and 2018 (Buffalo and Marshall).
The 2008 upsets had been particularly particular, as a result of each occurred on the identical court docket in Tampa. In truth, that was a site/day unlike any other in NCAA Tournament history, as a result of the opposite two successful groups that day in Tampa had been additionally double-digit seeds: Twelfth-seeded Western Kentucky won on a buzzer-beater in additional time and Twelfth seeded Villanova rallied from an 18-point deficit to upend Clemson.
The first 13-over-4 was particular, too. In that one — 1985, the primary yr of the expanded match — future NBA famous person David Robinson and his Navy Midshipmen thumped No. 4 seed LSU, a 23-point win that’s nonetheless the biggest margin of victory for any 13 seed.
And we’ve seen 13 seeds win in all types of methods. In 1989, Middle Tennessee dropped 97 factors on Florida State, and UNC Wilmington posted 93 in opposition to USC in 2002, successful a observe meet by 4 factors. On the opposite hand, you have the Princeton slowdown that baffled a really athletic UCLA squad in a 43-41 upset in 1996.
And positively value a point out? The buzzer beater that’s arguably essentially the most well-known first-round buzzer beater in the historical past of the NCAA Tournament got here from a 13 seed. You know the one, the 3-pointer by Valpo’s Bryce Drew that gave his Crusaders a one-point win in opposition to Ole Miss.
|1985||Navy def. LSU||78-55|
|1987||Missouri State def. Clemson||65-60|
|1987||Xavier def. Missouri||70-69|
|1988||Richmond def. Indiana||72-69|
|1989||Middle Tennessee def. Florida State||97-83|
|1991||Penn State def. UCLA||74-69|
|1992||Southwestern Louisiana def. Oklahoma||87-83|
|1993||Southern def. Georgia Tech||93-78|
|1995||Manhattan def. Oklahoma||77-67|
|1996||Princeton def. UCLA||43-41|
|1998||Valparaiso def. Ole Miss||70-69|
|1999||Oklahoma def. Arizona||61-60|
|2001||Indiana State def. Oklahoma||70-68|
|2001||Kent State def. Indiana||77-73|
|2002||UNC Wilmington def. USC||93-89|
|2003||Tulsa def. Dayton||84-71|
|2005||Vermont def. Syracuse||60-57|
|2006||Bradley def. Kansas||77-73|
|2008||Siena def. Vanderbilt||83-62|
|2008||San Diego def. UConn||70-69|
|2009||Cleveland State def. Wake Forest||84-69|
|2010||Murray State def. Vanderbilt||66-65|
|2011||Morehead State def. Louisville||62-61|
|2012||Ohio def. Michigan||65-60|
|2013||La Salle def. Kansas State||63-61|
|2016||Hawaii def. California||77-66|
|2018||Buffalo def. Arizona||89-69|
|2018||Marshall def. Wichita State||81-75|
|2019||UC Irvine def. Kansas State||70-64|
13 seeds vs. 4 seeds by the numbers
- 29-111: Record for 13 seeds vs. No. 4 seeds
- 20.7 p.c: Overall successful proportion for 13 seeds since 1985
- 23: Largest margin of victory for a 13 seed; Navy over LSU (78-55)
- 1: Smallest margin of victory for a 13 seed; six instances, first by Xavier over Missouri (70-69)
- 6-2: Record for No. 13 seeds in video games determined by one level
- 2: Buzzer-beater wins for 13 seeds: Murray State over Vanderbilt (2010), Valparaiso over Ole Miss (1998)
- 6: 13 seeds to win not less than two video games
Has a 13 seed ever won March Madness?
A 13 seed has by no means won the NCAA Tournament, and that most likely is not going to ever occur. Six groups seeded No. 13 have superior to the second weekend, however all six have faltered in the Sweet 16. Let’s have a look, we could?
1988, Richmond. NCAA Tournament junkies know that just some years later, Richmond was the primary No. 15 seed ever to win a sport, knocking off 2-seed Syracuse. You won’t be stunned that it was the identical coach on the coronary heart of each Richmond Cinderella squads, Dick Tarrant. In 1988, the Spiders knocked off Indiana — the Hoosiers won the 1987 nationwide title — in the opening spherical, then beat fifth-seeded Georgia Tech in the second spherical. The magic ended in opposition to top-seeded Temple, although, because the Owls won by 22.
1998, Valparaiso. Bryce Drew, y’all. The play that was arguably essentially the most fantastically orchestrated buzzer-beater in NCAA Tournament historical past pushed Valpo previous Ole Miss in the opener, after which the Crusaders beat Florida State (a 12 seed) in the second spherical to advance to the Sweet 16, the place they fell to Rhode Island.
1999, Oklahoma. It’s extremely uncommon to have a power-conference college on the No. 13 seed line, however that’s the place Oklahoma wound up as a 20-win at-large workforce. The Sooners dispatched Arizona and Charlotte earlier than falling to Michigan State.
2006, Bradley. Imagine being a 13 seed making the Sweet 16 and never being the match’s darling as a result of an 11 seed (George Mason) makes the Final Four. Bradley knocked off Kansas — a faculty that’s been on the improper finish of upsets now and again — and Pittsburgh earlier than being dealt with with relative ease by No. 1 seed Memphis.
2012, Ohio. Michigan raced all the way in which to the nationwide title sport behind Trey Burke in 2013, maybe motivated by the reminiscence of dropping to Ohio in the primary spherical in 2012. The Bobcats clawed their well past the Wolverines, then knocked off fellow upset buddy, No. 12 seed South Florida, in the second spherical. In the Sweet 16, Ohio got here oh-so-close to creating historical past, pushing No. 1 seed North Carolina to additional time earlier than faltering.
2013, LaSalle. The membership explored courageous new worlds, changing into the primary 13 seed to win three video games in the NCAA Tournament. The first one was a First Four contest. LaSalle beat Boise State for the proper to play No. 4 seed Kansas State. The Explorers won that one by two factors, then beat 12 seed Mississippi by two factors to advance to the Sweet 16, the place they misplaced to Wichita State, a No. 9 seed that had simply upended No. 1 Gonzaga and would get all the way in which to the Final Four.
Lowest seed to win the NCAA Tournament
Since the match expanded to 64 groups in 1985, we’ve seen 4 double-digit seeds attain the Final Four:
- 11 seed LSU in 1986
- 11 seed George Mason in 2006
- 10 seed Syracuse in 2016
- 11 seed Loyola Chicago in 2018
All 4 misplaced earlier than reaching the title sport. Only 4 groups seeded decrease than the No. 3 seed line have ever won the nationwide title: one 4 seed (Arizona in 1997), one 6 seed (Kansas in 1988), one seven seed (UConn in 2014) and one 8 seed (Villanova in 1985). No 5 seed has ever won. The Villanova story is the stuff of legend; a plucky, methodical 8 seed that reached the title sport by grinding out a sequence of slim wins (three by three factors or fewer) and dealing with off in opposition to the may Georgetown Hoyas in the championship sport.
It’s thought of by some as the largest upset in NCAA Tournament historical past. But right here’s the factor: It makes for a terrific David and Goliath story, however Villanova was fairly darn good. In the 1985 and 1986 NBA Drafts, three starters from that 1985 workforce went in the highest 30 picks (Ed Pinckney at 10 and Dwayne McClain at 27 in 1985 and Harold Pressley at 17 in 1986; Gary McLain went in the seventh spherical in 1985). Factor in that Villanova had already performed Georgetown powerful TWICE that yr — losses by solely two factors and 7 factors — and, sorry, it does not make for a top-five all-time upset.
It does, although, make for a reasonably cool championship story.