How far will Aaron Rodgers’ holdout go?
Rodgers didn’t attend Green Bay’s three-day minicamp this week, which suggests the three-time MVP is taken into account a holdout. This will price Rodgers lower than $100,000 in fines until the Packers waive these prices.
Now, the subsequent date to watch is July 27. That’s when the Packers open necessary coaching camp forward of the 2021 NFL season. If Rodgers nonetheless is holding out at that time, then the rift with Green Bay president Mark Murphy and normal supervisor Brian Gutekunst would possibly attain a tipping level. It can be the most notable holdout since Emmitt Smith with the Cowboys in 1993.
This is completely different, nonetheless. Rodgers is a quarterback. The final quarterback to sit out a full season was Kelly Stouffer, who couldn’t agree to a contract with the Cardinals after being chosen in the first spherical in 1987. Again, although, this is not the similar scenario.
But there are parallels with the rift former No. 1 decide Carson Palmer had with the Bengals in 2011. Palmer was ultimately traded to Oakland throughout the season, however not till after a messy divorce with the Bengals. And sure, Rodgers’ agent Dave Dunn was additionally Palmer’s agent.
Will Rodgers and the Packers come to the similar conclusion? Perhaps. But there are main variations between the two holdouts, and these want to be addressed.
State of the franchise
The Bengals completed 4-12 in Palmer’s seventh season in 2010, and he completed with 3,970 yards, 26 TDs and 20 interceptions. “Palmer had a meeting with Bengals owner Mike Brown to request for a separation from the team, coupled with a threat to retire if that demand was not met,” Cincinnati.com reported in January 2011.
A decade later, Rodgers addressed his future after the Packers misplaced the second of back-to-back NFC championship video games to Tampa Bay on Jan. 19, 2020. He referred to as his scenario with the Packers a “beautiful mystery,” which continued the ongoing hypothesis about his future in Green Bay regardless of a 26-6 regular-season file with Matt LaFleur as head coach.
Is this completely different? Yes and no. Green Bay is a Super Bowl-caliber group, and Rodgers has stored them in the hunt for 16 seasons. Palmer and the Bengals had been an up-and-down group that didn’t advance previous the AFC Wild Card spherical. But clearly the points that led to the discontent of each quarterbacks did not occur in a single day.
The subsequent quarterback
Palmer’s calls for led Cincinnati to draft Andy Dalton with the No. 35 decide in the 2011 NFL Draft. Dalton led TCU to a 13-0 file that included a Mountain West Conference championship and a Rose Bowl victory towards Wisconsin the earlier season. He served as an insurance coverage coverage of types in case Palmer wouldn’t return.
The Packers already created their drawback by buying and selling up to draft Jordan Love with the No. 26 decide in the 2020 NFL Draft. Love additionally performed in the Mountain West Conference at Utah State. He led the Aggies to an 11-2 file in 2018, however that file dipped to 7-6 with a brand new teaching workers the following season. Green Bay drafted Love as an alternative of including one other extra quick piece to a returning NFC championship group.
Is this completely different? Yes. Cincinnati made the transfer as a response to Palmer’s discontent. Green Bay created the discontent by buying and selling up to add a quarterback to a roster that was ready-made to contend for a Super Bowl. That opened the door for criticism that hasn’t stopped since.
According to Cincinnati.com, experiences that Palmer stated he would by no means step foot in Paul Brown Stadium surfaced in March. Bengals proprietor Mike Brown publicly stated after the NFL lockout that offseason that Palmer wouldn’t be traded. Brown doubled down at coaching camp in July, telling reporters, “I wish him well and he has retired. That is his choice.” Brown adopted via on that, and the group positioned Palmer on the “did not report” listing forward of the 2011 season.
Rodgers has circuitously stated he wouldn’t play for the Packers in 2021, however ESPN insider Adam Schefter’s report that the quarterback is disgruntled and needs out overshadowed the first spherical of the 2021 NFL Draft on April 29. Murphy and Gutekunst have repeatedly expressed that Rodgers is not going to be traded forward of the 2021 season, however the scenario is starting to resemble Brett Favre’s exit from Green Bay in 2008. Favre was traded to the Jets that season.
Now, the query turns into whether or not Rodgers experiences for coaching camp in July. That will probably be the focus over the subsequent six weeks.
Is this completely different? The conditions are comparable, even when Rodgers hasn’t publicly requested for a commerce. Both quarterbacks play for old-school possession, and Green Bay may observe the similar path as Cincinnati if there isn’t a fence-mending with Rodgers.
The common season
The Bengals opened the 2011 season with a 4-2 file via the bye week with Dalton at quarterback, and that prompted Brown to commerce Palmer to the Raiders on Oct. 18, 2011. Cincinnati went on to a 9-7 file and reached the AFC Wild Card spherical.
This is the potential subsequent step for the Packers if Rodgers’ holdout stretches into the season. Love can be the potential Week 1 starter towards New Orleans regardless of not taking a snap in 2020. That’s a dangerous transfer contemplating that almost all of the Packers’ roster from these previous two NFC championship runs stays on board. If Rodgers’ holdout drags on via coaching camp, it is going to get extra consideration than the circus with Favre in 2008.
Is this completely different? The worst-case situation for the Packers might be catastrophic. The franchise would watch back-to-back Hall of Fame quarterbacks depart in unceremonious trend, and Rodgers’ scenario already has divided the fan base in the same method. Because Palmer had not performed properly in 2020, it was simpler for Cincinnati followers to flip towards Dalton. Love would face far more stress in Green Bay if he’s the starter, which isn’t a certain factor at this level given the lack of expertise.
Dalton had a 70-61-2 file in 9 seasons with the Bengals, and he led the franchise to 5 playoff appearances. Cincinnati didn’t win any of these video games, and the franchise moved on final season by drafting Joe Burrow with the No. 1 decide. Palmer had a 44-37-1 file in seven seasons with Oakland and Arizona after leaving Cincinnati, and his lone postseason victory for his profession got here towards the Packers in 2016.
The Packers can be banking on yet one more stroke of luck. Rodgers’ first season was bumpy as a starter, however he turned out to be a extra environment friendly Favre. That’s led to a 12-9 postseason file and a Super Bowl 45 victory. Love can be tasked with dwelling up to unattainable expectations, however the similar will probably be true of whoever takes the snaps after Rodgers leaves Green Bay, which appears to be like like it is going to occur even when it’s not throughout the 2020 season.
Is this completely different? The parallels with the Palmer scenario are there, particularly if Rodgers holds out, however the stakes are a lot increased in Green Bay. The Packers’ scenario stays TBD, and July will probably be very attention-grabbing if Rodgers doesn’t present up.