College football picks, predictions against the spread for every Week 5 top 25 game

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Week 5 of the faculty football season options 4 matchups between groups ranked in the newest AP Top 25. 

The SEC has a pair of blockbuster matchups this weekend. No. 2 Georgia meets No. 8 Arkansas at 12 p.m. in an sudden top-10 showdown. No. 1 Alabama welcomes No. 12 Ole Miss at 3:30 p.m. ET in the newest installment of Nick Saban vs. Lane Kiffin. 

That is in the similar window as one other top-10 showdown between No. 7 Cincinnati and No. 9 Notre Dame, a game with large College Football Playoff implications. Surprise Big 12 unbeatens No. 19 Oklahoma State and No. 21 Baylor meet in prime-time. 

BENDER: Georgia ascends to No. 1 in playoff picture | (*5*)

This is the most-loaded weekend of the season thus far and an opportunity to enhance our document against the spread: 

  • Straight up: 61-14 (17-3 in Week 4) 
  • Against the spread: 32-43 (9/11 in Week 4) 
  • Upsets: 4-1 (1-0 in Week 4) 

With that in thoughts, a take a look at this week’s picks: 

Week 5 picks against the spread 

Friday, Oct. 1

No. 5 Iowa (-3.5) at Maryland (8 p.m., FS1) 

Taulia Tagovailoa has led the Terps to a shocking 4-0 begin, and so they gained the final house assembly against the Hawkeyes in 2014. Iowa, nevertheless, hasn’t allowed greater than 17 factors in a game this season. That over (48.5) is engaging, too. 

Pick: Iowa wins 31-26 and COVERS the spread. 

No. 13 BYU (-8.5) at Utah State (9 p.m., CBSSN) 

Jaren Hall (ribs) would possibly return this week, however Baylor Romney proved a succesful backup against South Florida. The Cougars are 0-2 ATS as a favourite this season, and the Aggies have been in some shoutouts. Utah State might be unfastened with the football, too. 

Pick: BYU wins 35-23 and COVERS the spread. 

Saturday, Oct. 2

No. 8 Arkansas at No. 2 Georgia (-18.5) (12 p.m., ESPN) 

The Bulldogs are 3-1 ATS this season and have allowed simply 23 factors. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS, and that features two covers as an underdog. Georgia trailed Arkansas 7-5 at halftime final season earlier than the Bulldogs blew the game open. We assume Arkansas can compete for 4 quarters on this one, even when it is at arm’s size. 

Pick: Georgia wins 30-13 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

No. 14 Michigan at Wisconsin (-0.5) (12 p.m., FOX) 

It’s a pick-em, and with good motive. Wisconsin has two losses and has struggled in the passing game, however their run protection will check Michigan. The Wolverines haven’t gained at Wisconsin since 2001. Michigan is 0-12 S/U as an underdog beneath Jim Harbaugh since 2015. They break the streak in a slugest. 

Pick: Michigan wins 23-20 in an UPSET. 

Louisville at No. 24 Wake Forest (-6.5) (12:30 p.m.) 

The Demon Deacons are ranked, however the Cardinals have bounced again properly from the season-opening loss to Ole Miss. Malik Cunningham makes the distinction with one other standout efficiency for the Cards on the highway. 

Pick: Louisville wins 34-31 in an UPSET. 

No. 7 Cincinnati (-2.5) at No. 9 Notre Dame (2:30 p.m. NBC) 

The Bearcats have a chance to choose up an enormous highway win, and they’re going to problem the Irish with the mixture of Desmond Ridder and Jerome Ford. The Irish, nevertheless, erupted in the fourth quarter against Wisconsin and can play up as an underdog once more. 

Pick: Notre Dame wins 27-24 in an UPSET.

UL-Monroe at No. 16 Coastal Carolina (-34.5) (2:30 p.m., ESPN+) 

If the Bearcats lose, then the Chanticleers will change into the Group of 5 darling. Coastal Carolina has been favored by double digits in every game, and they’re 3-1 ATS. The Warhawks are 3-0 S/U on this sequence. 

Pick: Coastal Carolina wins 48-17 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

No. 12 Ole Miss at No. 1 Alabama (-14.5) (3:30 p.m., CBS) 

The line hasn’t moved a lot, and Ole Miss had an additional week to organize for the Crimson Tide. This shootout between Bryce Young and Matt Corral must be enjoyable. The Crimson Tide are 9-3 ATS with a relaxation drawback in the CFP period, however we predict that half-point hook is sufficient to take Ole Miss. 

Pick: Alabama wins 44-33 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

No. 3 Oregon (-8.5) at Stanford (3:30 p.m., ABC) 

This was once the huge game in the Pac-12. The Cardinal have been a hit-or-miss staff, and the line has jumped two factors in consequence. This is Oregon’s first game as a single-digit favourite, and so they take benefit with one other victory on the highway. 

Pick: Oregon wins 31-20 and COVERS the spread. 

No. 6 Oklahoma (-10.5) at Kansas State (3:30 p.m., FOX) 

The Wildcats have gained the final two conferences, and Oklahoma’s offense has been caught in impartial the final two weeks. Okay-State is coming off a loss against Oklahoma State, however the Wildcats are 6-2 ATS as a house underdog beneath Chris Klieman. 

Pick: Oklahoma wins 33-24 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

No. 11 Ohio State (-15.5) at Rutgers (3:30 p.m., BTN) 

The Buckeyes rank second in the FBS with 559.3 yards per game, and the protection bounced again with eight sacks against Akron. Rutgers is an improved staff beneath Greg Schiano, however the Scarlet Knights’ closest loss to the Buckeyes since becoming a member of the Big Ten is 22 factors. Ohio State makes a press release to the remainder of the Big Ten East. 

Pick: Ohio State wins 45-17 and COVERS the spread. 

No. 10 Florida (-8.5) at Kentucky (6 p.m., ESPN) 

Kentucky is 4-0 and can look to beat the Gators in Lexington for the first time since 1986. The Gators are 1-2 ATS as a favourite this season, however that is the first single-digit spread.  Florida’s protection makes a distinction late, and the Wildcats lose one other heart-breaker at house. 

Pick: Florida wins 28-24 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

Louisiana Tech at No. 23 N.C. State (-19.5) (6 p.m., ESPN+)

N.C. State coach Dave Doeren should guard against the hangover game after beating Clemson, and that is going to be robust. Louisiana Tech misplaced to Mississippi State and SMU by a mixed whole of three factors. Take these factors. 

Pick: N.C. State wins 30-20 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

Mississippi State at No. 15 Texas A&M (-8.5) (7 p.m., SECN) 

Mississippi State misplaced a pair of heart-breakers to Memphis and LSU, and now they journey to face an Aggies’ staff seeking to bounce again after a loss to Arkansas. Texas A&M has gained the final two conferences in convincing style, however this appears like a dogfight given the inconsistent offenses. 

Pick: Texas A&M wins 29-23 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

No. 21 Baylor at No. 19 Oklahoma State (-3.5) (7 p.m., ESPN2) 

Surprise Big 12 unbeatens match up in prime time. The Bears lead the Big 12 with 273.3 speeding yards per game, and they are going to be motivated after dropping 42-3 to the Cowboys final season. We’re nonetheless trusting the house staff in a coin-flip game. Oklahoma State has gained three one-score video games this yr. Make it 4. 

Pick: Oklahoma State wins 30-23 and COVERS the spread. 

Indiana at No. 4 Penn State (-10.5) (7:30 p.m., ABC) 

The Hoosiers beat Penn State in a 36-35 thriller final season, and likelihood is no one in Happy Valley has forgotten about that. Indiana enters a brutal a part of the schedule, and this simply hasn’t been the similar staff as final yr. 

Pick: Penn State wins 34-17 and COVERS the spread. 

Western Kentucky at No. 17 Michigan State (-9.5) (7:30 p.m., BTN) 

Michigan State continues to shock with star operating again Kenneth Walker III, and this line seems to be low. The Hilltoppers are 3-0 ATS, however the protection permits 224.7 speeding yards per game. The Spartans roll with that. 

Pick: Michigan State wins 35-20 and COVERS the spread. 

Boston College at No. 25 Clemson (-15.5) (7:30 p.m., ACCN) 

The Tigers are 0-4 ATS however stay double-digit favorites against Boston College, a staff that had a double-digit lead on the Tigers at halftime final season. Boston College is 4-0 and can are available taking part in with a variety of confidence. Everybody in the ACC thinks they’ve a shot at Clemson till the Tigers blow any individual out. We’ll have to attend one other week. 

Pick: Clemson wins 31-24 however FAILS TO COVER the spread. 

No. 22 Auburn at LSU (-3.5) (9 p.m., ESPN)

Auburn should climate a visit to Death Valley at evening, and it is a spot the place they have not gained since 1999. That’s a variety of historical past to beat, and LSU has picked up the items since the Week 2 loss at UCLA. Who made Auburn’s schedule once more? 

Pick: LSU wins 27-20 and COVERS the spread. 

Arizona State at No. 20 UCLA (-3.5) (10:30 p.m., FS1) 

The Bruins have gained the final two conferences, and it is a game that might decide the winner of the Pac-12 South. The Sun Devils have the top protection in the Pac-12, nevertheless, and Jayden Daniels learns from the loss at BYU. Stay up late for this one. It will probably be price it. 

Pick: Arizona State wins 31-30 in an UPSET. 

No. 18 Fresno State (-10.5) at Hawaii (11 p.m., CBSSN) 

The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS, and Jake Haener continues to get extra consideration with every victory. Hawaii has dedicated 11 turnovers this season and a hit-or-miss passing assault. Fresno State caps a enjoyable week with a late cowl. 

Pick: Fresno State wins 36-22 and COVERS the spread. 



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