It’s time to dig out of the gap.
Trust me, it may have been worse. In our Week 2 Picks Against the Spread, we whiffed on the first eight picks. That led to a 5-11 document ATS in Week 2, one thing we’re not pleased with.
Fortunately, Week 3 affords a number of probabilities at redemption, together with three video games involving ranked groups. No. 1 Alabama meets No. 11 Florida in a rematch of final 12 months’s SEC championship game. No. 22 Auburn travels to No. 10 Penn State for a “Whiteout” game in primetime. No. 19 Arizona State and No. 23 BYU meet in a late-night showdown, too.
Each week, SN College Football author Bill Bender will decide the Top 25 video games against the spread.
- Straight up: 27-8 (12-4 in Week 2)
- Against the spread: 13-22 (5-11 in Week 2)
- Upsets: 2-0 (1-0 in Week 2)
With that in thoughts, it’s time to get again on the profitable facet:
Odds courtesy of FanDuel.com
Week 3 picks against the spread
- Nebraska at No. 3 Oklahoma (-22.5) (12 p.m., FOX)
This was once the marquee game in the previous Big 12. Now, the query is whether or not Nebraska can cowl a three-plus TD spread? The Huskers are 6-4 ATS as a street underdog below Scott Frost, and the offense ought to put up sufficient factors on the Sooners.
Pick: Oklahoma wins 45-24 and FAILS TO COVER the spread.
- New Mexico at No. 7 Texas A&M (-28.5) (12 p.m., SEC Network)
The Aggies are 1-1 ATS, and we missed each picks. Zach Calzada may get the begin with Haynes King injured at quarterback, and the Lobos are 2-0. That stated, this seems like a game the place Texas A&M would not decelerate with Arkansas arising in Week 4.
Pick: Texas A&M wins 42-10 and COVERS the spread.
- No. 8 Cincinnati (-3) at Indiana (12 p.m., ESPN)
This is certainly one of the Bearcats’ massive video games against a Power 5 opponent, and Indiana affords a troublesome problem. The Hoosiers recalibrated against Idaho final week, and the quarterback duel between Desmond Ridder and Michael Penix Jr. must be enjoyable. The Hoosiers are 3-7-1 ATS as a house underdog below Tom Allen, and we predict the Bearcats are the higher crew.
Pick: Cincinnati wins 28-24 and COVERS the spread.
- No. 15 Virginia Tech at West Virginia (-2.5) (12 p.m., FS1)
The Black Diamond Trophy is in play for the first time since 2017, and will probably be superior to see these rivals on the area. We’re a bit of stunned the Hokies are an underdog given the promising begin below Justin Fuente.
Pick: Virginia Tech wins 27-24 in an UPSET.
- No. 16 Coastal Carolina (-12.5) at Buffalo (12 p.m.)
Coastal Carolina is 2-0 ATS, and they’ll look to proceed that run on the street against a troublesome MAC opponent. Buffalo misplaced 28-3 to Nebraska in Week 2. It’s asking for a bit of extra on the street, however Grayson McCall delivers one other cowl.
Pick: Coastal Carolina wins 38-20 and COVERS the spread.
- Michigan State at No. 24 Miami (-6) (12 p.m., ABC)
The Hurricanes are 0-2 ATS this season, and we’ve not been thrilled with how they performed in both game. The Spartans, nonetheless, have discovered the proper mixture with quarterback Payton Thorne and operating again Kenneth Walker III. The Spartans win this one outright.
Pick: Michigan State wins 30-27 in an UPSET.
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- Northern Illinois at No. 25 Michigan (-27.5) (12 p.m., BTN)
Michigan is ranked once more below Jim Harbaugh, and meaning the spreads are going to be heavier now. The Wolverines will proceed to roll with a speeding assault that averages 339 yards per game, however they should work on the passing game, too. Northern Illinois has performed two wild video games to this point. This one they get the back-door cowl.
Pick: Michigan wins 38-14 however FAIL TO COVER the spread.
- Purdue at No. 12 Notre Dame (-7.5) (2:30 p.m., NBC)
The Irish are 0-2 ATS and a tough crew to determine after survival-mode victories against Florida State and Toledo. These groups have not met since 2014, so feelings must be excessive. The Irish shut this one out with out as a lot drama.
Pick: Notre Dame wins 34-21 and COVERS the spread.
- No. 1 Alabama (-15) at No. 11 Florida (3:30 p.m., CBS)
This is a large assertion game for Florida, which proved it might probably dangle with Alabama in the SEC championship game final season. Bryce Young will likely be making his first begin in a real street game, and The Swamp must be rocking. The Gators have misplaced three video games at dwelling below Dan Mullen. Look for the Crimson Tide to remain below management and draw back in the second half.
Pick: Alabama wins 34-17 and COVERS the spread.
- Kent State at No. 5 Iowa (-22.5) (3:30 p.m., BTN)
This spread retains ticking up, a nod to a nasty Iowa protection that has allowed simply 11.5 factors in two video games and has scored three touchdowns. Kent State almost coated against Texas A&M, nonetheless, and Dustin Crum is a veteran quarterback who can string collectively a number of drives. The Golden Flashes slip below the cowl.
Pick: Iowa wins 34-13 however FAILS TO COVER the spread.
- Georgia Tech at No. 6 Clemson (-28.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC)
Clemson hammered Georgia Tech 73-7 final season, they usually have received the final three dwelling conferences by a mean of 23.7 ppg. The Tigers haven’t given up an offensive TD but, and if they will keep away from turnovers a canopy is feasible. This is certainly one of the more durable calls with the giant spread.
Pick: Clemson wins 44-13 and COVERS the spread.
- Tulsa at No. 9 Ohio State (-26.5) (3:30 p.m., FS1)
The Buckeyes have been shocked in a non-conference loss to Oregon, and protection will likely be the emphasis against a Tulsa offense that averages 20 factors per game by two weeks. Look for the Buckeyes to get proper on each side in a blowout victory.
Pick: Ohio State wins 52-17 and COVERS the spread.
- Georgia Southern at No. 20 Arkansas (-23.5) (4 p.m., SECN)
FAU thumped the Eagles 38-6, which makes it robust to belief them on the street against the red-hot Razorbacks. Arkansas runs the danger of an emotional letdown after the massive win against Texas, and maybe Georgia Southern can make the most of that with its run-heavy offense.
Pick: Arkansas wins 31-10 however FAILS TO COVER the spread.
- South Carolina at No. 2 Georgia (-30.5) (7 p.m., ESPN)
Georgia answered questions on its offense in a blowout against UAB final week, and Kirby Smart will certainly remind his crew of the double-overtime loss to the Gamecocks in Athens in 2019. It is the SEC opener for each groups, and first-year coach Shane Beamer’s first style of the rivalry. That nonetheless looks like too many factors, even against a nasty Georgia protection.
Pick: Georgia wins 39-10 however FAILS TO COVER the spread.
- No. 22 Auburn at No. 10 Penn State (-5.5) (7:30 p.m. ABC)
Auburn hasn’t performed a Big Ten opponent in the common season in 1931. The “Whiteout” will likely be a troublesome check, and junior Bo Nix should be environment friendly against a troublesome Penn State protection. The Nittany Lions make sufficient massive performs in the passing game to attain a key non-conference victory.
Pick: Penn State wins 31-24 and COVERS the spread.
- Virginia at No. 21 North Carolina (-9.5) (7:30 p.m., ACCN)
Virginia has received 4 in a row on this collection, and the Cavaliers have a novel alternative to knock the Tar Heels additional down the ACC Coastal pecking order. All 4 of these wins are by 10 factors or much less. This might be a classy upset decide, however we like the Tar Heels to win a thriller.
Pick: North Carolina wins 31-28 however FAILS TO COVER the spread.
- Tulane at No. 17 Ole Miss (-14.5) (8 p.m., ESPN2)
The intuition is to financial institution on the Green Wave to cowl once more after the effort against Oklahoma two weeks in the past. Both groups scored massive numbers against FCS faculties this week, so this will likely be a shootout. Given the line has dropped a degree, there may be some worth in taking the Rebels (and the over).
Pick: Ole Miss wins 49-31 and COVERS the spread.
- No. 19 Arizona State (-2) at No. 23 BYU (10:15 p.m., ESPN)
BYU has an opportunity to knock off three straight Pac-12 opponents, and Jaren Hall has emerged as a playmaker at quarterback for the Cougars. Arizona State counters with a cruel speeding assault led by Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White. The Sun Devils pull out a troublesome victory on the street.
Pick: Arizona State wins 30-24 and COVERS the spread.
- No. 14 Iowa State (-30.5) at UNLV (10:30 p.m., CBSSN)
UNLV coated a big spread against the Sun Devils in Week 2. This is a weird date on the schedule for an Iowa State crew coming off a rivalry loss. The Rebels can squeak out a second cowl in two weeks in the event that they keep away from the early knockout punch at dwelling.
Pick: Iowa State wins 38-10 however FAILS TO COVER the spread.
- Fresno State at No. 13 UCLA (-11.5) (10:45 p.m., Pac-12 Network)
Both groups are 2-0 ATS this season, and it must be an thrilling offensive matchup. Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener has eight TDs and no interceptions, and UCLA operating again Zach Charbonnet averages 13.1 yards per carry. Big performs are approaching each side. Fresno State has received the final three conferences, so this will likely be price staying up late for.
Pick: UCLA wins 38-28 however FAILS TO COVER the spread.