MANILA, Philippines — Top academicians finding out the COVID-19 pandemic tendencies have warned the federal government a couple of steady enhance in Cebu City’s optimistic instances, which can warrant stricter quarantine protocols anew.
In the newest OCTA Research report launched on Tuesday, the group sounded alarm once more over Cebu City’s scenario, particularly since a number of observers suppose that greater numbers within the metropolis and the area could also be attributed to the coronavirus’ B.1.1.7 variant, which originated from the United Kingdom (UK).
In line with this, OCTA Research stated that native authorities items (LGUs) should think about the inserting of stricter quarantine laws in high-risk areas like Cebu, whereas implementing aggressive testing and phone tracing.
“In high-risk LGUs such as Cebu City, we urge the [LGUs] concerned to consider the stricter implementation of their current community quarantines while continuing to intensify their efforts at testing, tracing, and isolation to reverse the increase in transmissions in their communities,” OCTA Research stated.
“Given the real threat of the ‘game-changing’ UK variant possibly infecting communities in Cebu City, Mandaue and Lapu Lapu, these LGUs must be ready to consider the implementation of strict barangay lockdowns in areas that have already been identified as hotspots to suppress or mitigate viral transmission,” it added.
But apart from Cebu falling beneath the “high risk” class beneath Department of Health (DOH) tips, one other urgent concern and prediction is that hospital utilization price could shoot to 70 p.c in simply two weeks — the important stage — if the present pattern continues.
As of now, hospital utilization in Cebu City is at 40 p.c.
“The main concern now in Cebu City, apart from the possibility of the UK B.1.1.7 variant spreading in the area, is the state of the hospital utilization. The above chart shows the hospital bed occupancy in Cebu City hospitals over the past four weeks,” the report defined.
“While the current usage is still manageable, at 40% as of February 7 (from 25% one month ago), the question is, if cases continue to increase at the current transmission rate, when would hospital occupancy could breach the 70% critical level,” it famous.
Recently, DOH debunked claims that the UK variant is responsible for the rise in COVID-19 instances in Cebu. According to DOH Region 7 spokesperson Dr. Mary Jean Loreche, no conclusion might be made till the outcomes of samples despatched to the genome heart in Metro Manila can be found.
The UK variant is alleged to be extra contagious than different unique variants of the coronavirus illness that originated from China, just like the extra prevalent B.1.1.6 variant from Hong Kong. Cebu presently has 70 sufferers screened for the brand new variant, with solely 62 of those certified for sequencing.
OCTA Research stated that the scenario in Cebu City continues to be manageable, however could worsen if left unchecked; as of now, town averages over 120 new instances per day, which is a 30 p.c enhance in comparison with the earlier week.
In comparability, Cebu averaged round 167 new instances day by day in the course of the top of its lockdown.
“While the Covid-19 situation in Cebu City is still at a manageable level, the data indicates a continuing increase in new Covid-19 cases since the start of the year. This continues to be a serious cause of concern given that the new and more contagious UK B.1.1.7 variant has been identified in the area,” it famous.
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