How rapidly fortunes can change within the Premier League: Just a few weeks in the past Tottenham Hotspur was on the high of the early-season standings and Arsenal was mired on the backside with no level. There’s instantly a special vibe round each groups heading into Sunday’s London derby at Emirates Stadium.
With a win at dwelling, Arsenal can go degree with its rivals on factors. Considered to be on the new seat for a while, supervisor Mikel Arteta’s positivity has seemingly paid dividends: He now has once-injured gamers again of their beginning roles alongside new acquisitions which might be already making an impression. That has led to 2 shutout wins in a row within the Premier League, and development to the Round of 16 of the Carabao Cup.
It’s gone the opposite approach for Tottenham. After three straight wins to start out the season, the concepts in assault have dried up, the ways of recent supervisor Nuno Espirito Santo are being questioned, accidents to Steven Bergwijn and Lucas Moura have compounded the problems, and an additional busy schedule that includes European cup competitors has restricted observe time for a brand new coach to implement his concepts. (Arsenal doesn’t have European obligations this season.)
With that backdrop, right here’s how the percentages for this match are shaping up as of Sunday (odds courtesy of DraftKings):
- Moneyline: Arsenal +125 / Draw +230 / Tottenham +240
- Spread: Arsenal -0.5 (+125) / Tottenham +0.5 (-145)
- Over / Under Total Goals: O2.5 -105 / U2.5 -120
- Both Teams To Score: Yes -130 / No +100
Are Arsenal’s final two 1-0 wins towards relegation candidates like Norwich City and Burnley actually ones to get enthusiastic about, or did they merely serve to purchase under-fire Arteta extra time? Are we making too huge a deal about Tottenham’s two consecutive 3-0 losses, when one got here towards steamrolling European champs Chelsea and the opposite was attributable to a purple card that lowered Spurs to 10 males towards Crystal Palace?
Even in the event you take the above into consideration, it’s arduous to look previous the truth that Arsenal has a deeper squad proper now, it’s taking part in at dwelling, and the brand new signings have built-in seamlessly into the beginning lineup. Digging by means of the out there bets, the highest three picks all lean towards Arsenal. Scroll down for extra on every (odds courtesy of DraftKings):
- Arsenal or tie and over 1.5: -180 (beforehand -160)
- Arsenal 1st Half decide’em Asian Handicap: -160 (beforehand -155)
- Arsenal -0.25 Asian Handicap: -105 (beforehand +100)
How Arsenal, Tottenham form up
Tottenham could have held onto striker Harry Kane (beneath), who was significantly courted by Manchester City this summer season, however Spurs are simply not producing sufficient goal-scoring choices to make full use of his repertoire of abilities. Tottenham is final within the league with 4.6 anticipated objectives after 5 matches: It’s no marvel Kane has but to attain a Premier League objective this yr. Kane’s three objectives have are available in non-league competitions: two got here within the Conference League and one other within the Carabao Cup on Wednesday.
The story turns into evident when trying on the ‘shot-creating actions’ metric, as tracked by FBref: Arsenal is sixth within the Premier League with 124 complete shot-creating actions, whereas Tottenham is second to final with almost half the quantity (70), though Spurs are higher at getting the less pictures they create on course (league-best 38.3 shot-on-target share).
The criticism is being pointed immediately at Espirito Santo, who’s thought-about a conservative coach for the defensive construction he gave his groups at Wolves. By distinction, with the complete complement of their attackers now out there, Arsenal is hoping the objectives will begin to circulate simply because the workforce protection advantages from the brand new additions of proper again Takehiro Tomiyasu, heart again Ben White and goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale. It has helped that they’ve had the protection blanket supplied by Thomas Partey who’s again patrolling the midfield in entrance of them.
Both groups made it previous their opposition within the Carabao Cup on Wednesday, although Spurs needed to subject eight starters towards Wolves, together with Kane, whereas Arsenal wanted only one one starter towards third-tier aspect AFC Wimbledon.
So Arsenal needs to be the brisker workforce on Sunday after they welcome a Spurs aspect that’s solely 1-2-2 away from dwelling this yr in all competitions. That lone Tottenham win got here towards a misfiring Wolves workforce.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Injury updates and projected lineups
Arsenal primarily has a full-strength squad with the return of midfielder Granit Xhaka (beneath) from his three-game red-card suspension. Mohamed Elneny can also be again from a hamstring damage and he was even included within the midweek Carabao Cup squad although he did not obtain minutes.
Given the lineup he used on Wednesday towards AFC Wimbledon, Arteta is prone to subject an identical Arsenal workforce to the one which beat Burnley in Week 5 with 10 of these 11 starters being rested for the Carabao Cup on Wednesday (Partey was the exception).
Lucas Moura is on the market once more for Spurs although Steven Bergwijn continues to be out. The return of Moura helps Spurs turn out to be a menace once more in transition; within the absence of Moura and Bergwijn in current weeks the workforce has been predictable and the bullseye was positioned squarely on ahead teammates Kane and Son Heung-min.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham best bets
Anyone who’s watched Arsenal lately is aware of that this recreation ought to in all probability be thought-about a toss-up, particularly when there’s any diploma of optimism across the workforce. Even although Arsenal ought to have the sting, Tottenham below Nuno Espirito Santo continues to be able to bunkering and hitting the Gunners on the counter with a rested Son.
Live betting this recreation — it’s an 11:30 a.m. ET kick, so no excuses — and reacting to a possible opening salvo from Tottenham is advisable, particularly as a hedge alternative in the event you’re choosing Arsenal within the lead-up as do the best bets chosen beneath:
Arsenal -0.25 Asian Handicap: +100
Arsenal is at full energy, totally rested, stuffed with confidence and taking part in at dwelling. Taking the -0.25 Asian handicap, which supplies a bit of insurance coverage in case of a draw (half the wager is a push if it ends in a tie), is one option to leverage the Arsenal momentum play.
Arsenal or tie and over 1.5: -160
Here’s one other option to cautiously play Arsenal, although the return isn’t as engaging. There have been two or extra objectives scored in league matches between these two rivals in 9 of the final 10 conferences.
Arsenal to win both half: -155
Tottenham has conceded in 4 of 5 away video games performed this season in all competitions and Spurs are prone on set items. Arsenal ought to rating sooner or later, and given its newfound defensive stability thanks partly to a extra competent goalkeeper chief in Ramsdale, profitable one of many two halves just isn’t far-fetched (as mirrored by the percentages).
Arsenal 1st Half decide’em Asian Handicap: -155
The power of the gang, buoyed by the current optimistic outcomes, and the brisker gamers ought to make for an electrical begin for the house workforce. If there’s a half Arsenal is prone to win, the primary one is a compelling selection. The halftime draw is a push within the case of this particular wager.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang anytime objective scorer: +175
Since we’re relying on objectives to be scored on this recreation, and on Arsenal to be the aspect prone to do it, the Gunners’ heart ahead is sweet for a flier as an anytime scorer. He ought to profit from a workforce that’s slowly bettering and dealing higher as a bunch. Aubameyang (beneath) can also be Arsenal’s designated penalty taker.
How to look at Arsenal vs. Tottenham
The match shall be televised in English (NBCSN) and Spanish (Telemundo) with each channels streaming on fuboTV (free 7-day trial for new users).