Who desires a 12-team College Football Playoff?
That’s the newest scorching offseason debate after Yahoo Sports reported the format is preferred if the CFP does certainly develop in the future. A leap from 4 to 12 groups is a daring transfer for a sport that has wrestled with the correct playoff mannequin since the inception of the Bowl Championship Series in 1998.
There is little doubt that is the most-inclusive proposal up to now, however faculty soccer is an unique enterprise geared towards the conventional manufacturers. Change is not all the time met with thunderous applause.
How does a 12-team playoff dimension up? Sporting News weighs he execs and cons:
PRO: Four-team monopoly breaks up
Who are your College Football Playoff picks for 2021?
If a minimum of three of Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Notre Dame or Georgia aren’t in your listing, then you’re doing it improper. Those six faculties have mixed for 23 of 28 Playoff appearances.
It’s much more unique than that. Alabama, Clemson and Ohio State have dominated the CFP period, and the remainder of faculty soccer is tuning out.
The CFP championship sport between Alabama and Ohio State — two of the greatest manufacturers in the sport — drew all-time low ratings for a CFP championship sport. COVID-19 was an element, however the rut is actual.
More groups equals extra fan-bases equals extra pleasure. What’s the downside?
CON: This is not the NFL
Why is faculty soccer attempting so laborious to be like the NFL? The NFL simply moved to a 14-team playoff format, and the first season was a hit. Tom Brady led the Tampa Bay Buccaneers from the NFC Wild Card spherical to a Super Bowl title.
A transfer to a 12-team format would signify that faculty soccer is attempting too laborious to be like the NFL. As somebody who watches each all fall, I respect the variations between the two sports activities.
I additionally settle for faculty soccer underdog tales aren’t what you suppose. Ohio State was thought of an “underdog” as the No. 4 seed during its national championship run in 2014, and that team had 31 future NFL players.
Look at that hypothetical 12-team CFP bracket for 2020 again. Do you think Cincinnati can go through Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame and Ohio State or Clemson in one run? The Bearcats would have a much better chance of winning two games in a four-team format than four games in the 12-team format.
PRO: More games, more upsets
March Madness has thrived on the Cinderella story since Villanova beat Georgetown in the 1985 men’s basketball championship game in the first year of the 64-team era.
Give teams more chances to pull those upsets of the established powers, and perhaps that would break up the same-old matchups when Alabama, Clemson and Ohio State lose in the quarterfinals. Those quarterfinal matchups are still better than most conference championship games, which are often labeled as “de facto quarterfinals.” Skip that step and make it a postseason sport.
If the CFP expanded to 12, then that first weekend would rival the first weekend of March Madness, particularly in case you put these video games on campus. Last yr that might have produced Georgia at Cincinnati, Oregon at Texas A&M, Iowa State at Florida and Indiana at Oklahoma. It’s like Sweet 16 weekend.
That’s not like the NFL. It is perhaps higher.
CON: More video games, extra blowouts
It does not change the proven fact that Alabama, Ohio State and Clemson nonetheless exist.
College soccer is a top-heavy sport that thrives on dynasties, and the CFP period has amplified that. In any given yr, there are lower than 5 or 6 groups really geared up to win a university soccer nationwide championship.
A 12-team playoff will not change that. A four-team playoff hasn’t modified it. The common margin for victory in the CFP semifinals is nineteen.7 factors per sport. Three of the 14 semifinals the final seven years have been determined by 10 factors or much less. You need extra of that?
The CFP championship sport has been a blowout the final three years, too. There is an argument to be made that increasing the playoff would give recruits extra incentive to go to different faculties, however till these faculties begin sending NFL-ready expertise to the subsequent stage at the identical charge as Alabama and Ohio State — who might form their own playoff-caliber NFL teams — that is not going to vary all that a lot.
The Crimson Tide received three BCS championships and three CFP championships. Nick Saban signed an extension by 2028.
PRO: It’s higher than New Year’s Day Six
This is true. Players are opting out of the New Year’s Day Six bowls, and look no additional than Florida quarterback Kyle Trask’s targets in final yr’s Sugar Bowl loss to Oklahoma.
There is much less incentive to play in bowl video games now, and that may attain a tipping level when a quarterback like Trask opts out of a New Year’s Day Six bowl. The Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl do not have fairly as a lot that means after they aren’t semifinals.
Now, if these bowls are a part of a rotation in a 12-team playoff, then, sure, it might be superior. Kyle Pitts and Kadarius Toney are on the subject if Florida vs. Oklahoma is a College Football Playoff quarterfinal.
CON: Regular season worth is diminished
This is also true, even when it is a subjective reality. The common season is the distinctive a part of faculty soccer. “We can go 1-11 as long as we beat (insert rival school). How many times have you heard that? A billion?
The regular-season rivalry games matter more than in any other sport. Pittsburgh beat Cleveland in Week 6 of the NFL schedule last season. Not one Browns fan cares about that game now. It’s all about that AFC Wild Card victory.
Flip to that college, and Ohio State and Michigan fans have just about every score memorized, especially since Jim Harbaugh took over as head coach. Is the Iron Bowl really the Iron Bowl if both teams make the 12-team playoff and play again three weeks later? You can do that with North Carolina and Duke in basketball. It won’t be the same in football no matter how you sell it. There has to be a penalty for losing a rivalry game other than potential seeding.
That one game matters more than anything, and a 12-team playoff will force those fan-bases to adjust how they watch college football. We’re not saying that can’t be done, but it is naive to think that expansion won’t water down that regular season. It absolutely will.
PRO: More inclusion, more money
A dozen teams means more eyeballs from across the country, and if you didn’t make the field, well, then that’s your problem.
Chances are a 12-team field would have all five Power 5 conferences represented, at least one Group of 5 school and six at-larges. That would create a much-needed jolt for a sport that is about to enter the NIL era. The television networks won’t argue with more games, and it would be exciting.
Think back to Jan. 1, 2015. Florida State and Oregon played the first semifinal in the Rose Bowl, and Ohio State and Alabama played the best semifinal to date in the Sugar Bowl. There was a new-found excitement in the sport.
Alabama, Clemson and Ohio State just made the ball their own, with a revolving door of guests who really don’t belong with the exception of Joe Burrow-led LSU in 2019. Extending more invitations is the right thing to do.
CON: You lose No. 1 vs. No. 2
That is the essence of college football. There is no better regular-season game than a No. 1 vs. No. 2 “Game of the Century.” The sport thrives on the finger-pointing in all instructions, and fan-bases going backwards and forwards with these same-old snipes.
“You ain’t played anybody.”
“You ain’t beat no one.”
Texas and Texas A&M do not even play any extra, they usually nonetheless do it each rattling day on Twitter.
Sure, you may kind it out with a bloated playoff, however most of the time you understand who these groups are. There has not been a greater faculty soccer sport than the Rose Bowl between No. 1 USC and No. 2 Texas in 2005, and that’s as a result of these two groups dominated everyone that obtained of their method.
The extra groups you add, the much less likelihood you’ve got for matchups like that.
Unless, after all, you really consider Cincinnati can win all 4 video games in a 12-team format.